Match Analysis: Ipswich Town vs Derby County – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-30
- Time: 2:00 PM UTC
- Location: Portman Road Stadium
Game Overview
Ipswich Town hosts Derby County in an EFL Championship match where Ipswich is favored due to strong home form and Derby's inconsistent recent results.
Key Factors to Consider
- Ipswich Town exhibits strong performance at home this season, consistently showing offensive prowess, while Derby County has struggled to find form and maintain defensive stability.
- Recent encounters have favored Ipswich with more wins and better goal returns, indicating a psychological and tactical edge.
- No major injury concerns reported for Ipswich; Derby County has some minor fitness issues but nothing significantly impacting starting lineup.
- Match is at Ipswich's home ground, Portman Road, giving them environmental and crowd support advantage. No adverse weather or travel disruptions expected.
- Ipswich is motivated to maintain early season momentum and capitalize on home advantage, while Derby aims to reverse poor form but lacks a stable squad confidence.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Ipswich Town: -180, Draw: +275, Derby County: +475 | Ipswich Town | β β β β β 75% |
Spread | Ipswich Town -1: +108, Derby County +1: -128 | Ipswich Town -1 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over 2.25: -118, Under 2.25: -102 | Over 2.25 goals | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Ipswich Town -2% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.25 11% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.25 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Ipswich Town to win; Over 2.25 goals
Predicted Score: 3-1 Ipswich Town