Match Analysis: Internacional vs Santos – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-25
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Estádio Beira-Rio, Porto Alegre, Brazil
Game Overview
The match is a key fixture in Matchday 35 of the Campeonato Brasileiro Série A where Internacional hosts Santos FC. Internacional currently holds 40 points with a mid-table position, having won 10, drawn 10 and lost 14 games, and comes off a 2-1 victory against Ceará. Santos is close in points, separated by only three points from Internacional, with the need to gain momentum. Both teams have recent mixed form, but Internacional benefits from home advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
- Internacional has a recent form of W-D-L-L-D across all competitions, while Santos records D-W-L-L-D. Internacional is showing slightly better recent results including a last win over Santos by 2-1. They have 10 wins this season but also 14 losses, showing some inconsistency. Santos is struggling to recover consistent wins and has had three losses in their last six away matches.
- Historically, the two teams have met 43 times: Internacional has won 15 matches, Santos 12, with 16 draws. The most recent encounter ended in a 2-1 win for Internacional. The rivalry is balanced with a slight edge to Internacional when playing at home.
- Internacional will miss Sergio Rochet and Ronaldo due to rulings. Additionally, Tabata and Carbonero are unavailable due to suspensions from red cards in the last match. Santos have their full squad available for selection with no reported injuries.
- The match will be played at Estádio Beira-Rio with VAR in use and the referee yet to be decided. Home advantage and crowd support may favor Internacional. There are no adverse weather or pitch conditions reported.
- Santos urgently needs points to improve their standing, while Internacional aims to consolidate their mid-table position and leverage home advantage. Recent win over Santos boosts Internacional's confidence.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Internacional: 115, Santos: 260, Draw: 212 | Internacional | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Spread | Internacional: -0.25 @ -120, Santos: +25 @ 100 | Internacional -0.25 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 2.25: -118, Under 2.25: -102 | Over 2.25 goals | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Internacional 2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2.25 -4% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Internacional at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Internacional is favored to win narrowly due to home advantage and recent head-to-head success, with a predicted close scoreline.
Predicted Score: Internacional 2 – 1 Santos