Match Analysis: Internacional vs Flamengo – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-17
- Time: 9:30 PM UTC
- Location: Estádio Beira-Rio, Porto Alegre
Game Overview
This Brazil Campeonato match features Internacional hosting Flamengo, two evenly matched sides with recent tight encounters. Flamengo enter as slight favorites with better odds and recent Copa Libertadores performance, while Internacional show resilience and decent recent form at home.
Key Factors to Consider
- Flamengo have shown solid recent form including a narrow 1-0 Copa Libertadores win over Internacional, controlling possession and shots. Internacional won their last league game and have avoided heavy defeats, showing balanced attack and defense.
- Historically balanced with 39 matches; slight edge to Flamengo at home. Last official match ended 1-1. Both teams have similar scoring and conceding rates, averaging about 2.6 goals per game in H2H meetings.
- No major injury reports available affecting starting lineups significantly for either side in this match.
- Match played at Internacional's home ground, which provides some advantage. Flamengo may have motivation from prior Libertadores success and stronger squad depth.
- Both teams motivated for top league points; Flamengo seek to consolidate early advantage against a tough rival, Internacional motivated to defend home turf and avoid losing streak.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Flamengo 1.28, Internacional 2.30, Draw 2.10 | Flamengo | ★★★★☆ 71% |
Spread | Flamengo -0.25 (-105), Internacional +25 (-115) | Flamengo -0.25 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Over/under | Over 2 (-120), Under 2 (100) | Under 2 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Flamengo 25% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2 20% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Flamengo at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Flamengo moneyline win
Predicted Score: 1-0