Match Analysis: Inter Milan vs Lazio – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-09
- Time: 7:45 PM UTC
- Location: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milan
Game Overview
Inter Milan hosts Lazio in a pivotal Serie A clash at San Siro. Inter sits near the top of the table with strong form, while Lazio is mid-table and inconsistent. Inter is favored to win, but Lazio has shown resilience in recent meetings.
Key Factors to Consider
- Inter Milan is 7-3-0 in their last 10, with a +12 goal difference and dominant home form. Lazio is 4-3-3, with a +6 goal difference and inconsistent away results. Inter has won 4 of their last 5, while Lazio has struggled against top sides.
- Inter has won 3 of the last 5 meetings, with Lazio managing only one win. Recent H2H is tight, but Inter has a clear edge at home.
- No major injuries reported for either side. Both teams are at full strength for this fixture.
- Inter is playing at home with a packed San Siro, which adds to their advantage. Weather is expected to be clear, with no impact on play.
- Inter is fighting for the title and will be highly motivated to win. Lazio is mid-table and may lack the same urgency, but will look to upset the leaders.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -255, away: 575, draw: 420 | Inter Milan | β β β β β 74% |
| Spread | home: -112, away: -108 | Lazio +1.25 | β β β ββ 62% |
| Over/under | over: -118, under: -102 | Under 2.75 | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Inter Milan -5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.75 35% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 35% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 35.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Inter Milan wins, but Lazio covers the spread. Expect a tight match with under 2.75 goals.
Predicted Score: Inter Milan 2-1 Lazio