Match Analysis: Hull City vs Southampton – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-20
- Time: 2:00 PM UTC
- Location: KCOM Stadium
Game Overview
Hull City hosts Southampton in an EFL Championship match where Southampton enters as a slight favorite based on recent form and odds. Both teams show mixed recent results but Southampton's away capability and squad strength give them a competitive edge.
Key Factors to Consider
- Hull City has recent form of 1 win, 2 losses, 2 draws in their last 5 matches, showing inconsistency, while Southampton's last 5 are 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss, indicating defensive solidity and steady point accumulation away from home.
- Recent meetings tend to favor Southampton slightly, with them often managing positive results or close games, leveraging better away performance trends against Hull.
- No major injury updates indicate key players missing for either side, allowing both teams to field close to their best starting elevens.
- The match being at Hull's home ground may provide some advantage, but travel for Southampton is not expected to negatively impact their performance significantly.
- Southampton appears more motivated to secure points early in the season to push for promotion contention, whereas Hull City is focused on stabilizing their form.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: 193, away: 119, draw: 250 | Southampton | β β β ββ 68% |
Spread | home: -115, away: -105 | Southampton -0.25 | β β β ββ 64% |
Over/under | over: -102, under: -118 | Under 2.75 goals | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Southampton -1% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.75 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Southampton to win (Moneyline), Southampton -0.25 (Spread), Under 2.75 goals
Predicted Score: 0-1