Match Analysis: Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City SC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-06-28
- Time: 12:30 AM UTC
- Location: Shell Energy Stadium
Game Overview
Houston Dynamo hosts St. Louis City SC in an MLS regular season match at Shell Energy Stadium. Houston Dynamo have struggled this season with a record of 0-2-3, accumulating only 2 points, while St. Louis City SC are in better form with 2-2-1 and 8 points. The Dynamo will be looking to leverage their home advantage, but St. Louis City comes in with more confidence and recent better performances.
Key Factors to Consider
- Houston Dynamo has failed to register a win so far, showing vulnerabilities in both defense and attack with no significant goal scorers. St. Louis City SC has had a more balanced campaign with multiple players contributing goals and assists, reflecting a more cohesive team effort.
- There is limited recent head-to-head data between these two sides given St. Louis City's recent formation. However, early season results and performances favor St. Louis City SC showing more consistent results.
- No major injury updates are available for either team close to the match date, suggesting both sides will likely field their strongest available lineups.
- Playing at Shell Energy Stadium offers Houston Dynamo home support, but current form and morale favor the visiting side. Weather or pitch conditions have not been reported as issues for this match.
- Houston Dynamo are highly motivated to avoid a winless start to the season on home turf. St. Louis City SC aims to consolidate their position in the standings by exploiting Houston’s struggles.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Houston Dynamo: -120, St. Louis City SC: 300, Draw: 285 | Houston Dynamo win | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Spread | Houston Dynamo -0.5: -118, St. Louis City SC +50: -102 | Houston Dynamo -0.5 | ★★★☆☆ 53% |
Over/under | Over 2.75: -125, Under 2.75: 105 | Under 2.75 goals | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Houston Dynamo -12% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.75 23% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
St. Louis City SC edges out Houston Dynamo with a narrow away win due to better overall form and squad depth despite Houston's home advantage.
Predicted Score: 1-0