Match Analysis: Holstein Kiel vs SC Freiburg – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-10
- Time: 1:30 PM UTC
- Location: Holstein-Stadion, Kiel, Germany
Game Overview
This match between Holstein Kiel and SC Freiburg is crucial for both teams, with Freiburg seeking to maintain their fourth-place position in the Bundesliga. Holstein Kiel, currently ranked 17th, face a tough challenge against a stronger opponent.
Key Factors to Consider
- Holstein Kiel have struggled this season with a record of 4-7-19, while SC Freiburg have a more impressive 14-6-10. Freiburg's performance is bolstered by players like Ryo Doan, who has scored 9 goals, and Vincenzo Grifo, with 8 goals and 11 assists.
- Historically, head-to-head matches favor SC Freiburg due to their generally stronger performance in the Bundesliga.
- Holstein Kiel have several injuries, including Ivan Nekic and Marco Komenda, while SC Freiburg have fewer reported injuries but still face some challenges with Lucas Höler's recent recovery from a muscle problem.
- Home advantage might slightly favor Holstein Kiel, but Freiburg's form and recent performances make them more likely to secure a win.
- Both teams have strong motivations, with Freiburg aiming to solidify their position in the top four and Holstein Kiel seeking to improve their standings and avoid relegation.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Holstein Kiel: 215, SC Freiburg: 110, Draw: 285 | SC Freiburg win | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Spread | Holstein Kiel: 25 -105, SC Freiburg: -0.25 -115 | SC Freiburg cover | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Over/under | Over: 3 -115, Under: 3 -105 | Over 3 goals | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | SC Freiburg 37% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 3 -3% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: SC Freiburg at 37% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 33.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given the current form and strength of both teams, SC Freiburg are likely to win this match.
Predicted Score: Holstein Kiel 1, SC Freiburg 2