Match Analysis: Heracles Almelo vs Sparta Rotterdam – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-27
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Asito Stadion, Almelo
Game Overview
Heracles Almelo, bottom of the Eredivisie with 0 points and 6 straight losses, hosts a resilient Sparta Rotterdam side with 9 points. Heracles has been conceding heavily, allowing 18 goals (3 goals per game) this season, showing weak home form. Sparta Rotterdam has lost only 2 of their last 9 encounters against Heracles and is more stable defensively and offensively on the road.
Key Factors to Consider
- Heracles Almelo has a poor start with no points, losing all games and setting a defensive liability. Sparta has shown more consistency with 9 points and better road performances.
- Sparta Rotterdam has fared well against Heracles in recent history, losing only 2 of their last 9 matches.
- No major reported injuries to key players affecting starting lineups for either team.
- Match is played at Heracles' home ground, but their poor home form counteracts typical home advantage.
- Heracles is desperate for a first point and to stop the losing streak, but Sparta aims to capitalize on the home sideβs weakness to solidify their mid-table position.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Heracles Almelo: +171, Sparta Rotterdam: +136, Draw: +275 | Sparta Rotterdam | β β β ββ 68% |
Spread | Heracles Almelo: -103, Sparta Rotterdam: -127 | Heracles Almelo +0 | β β β ββ 60% |
Over/under | Over 2.75: -124, Under 2.75: -106 | Under 2.75 | β β β ββ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Sparta Rotterdam 18% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.75 20% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Sparta Rotterdam to win on the moneyline; Heracles Almelo +0 on the spread; Under 2.75 goals
Predicted Score: 0-1