Match Analysis: Heracles Almelo vs NEC Nijmegen – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-18
- Time: 12:30 PM UTC
- Location: Erve Asito
Game Overview
This match pits Heracles Almelo against NEC Nijmegen in the Eredivisie. Heracles is currently in 14th place with 38 points, while NEC Nijmegen is in 8th place with 40 points. Heracles has struggled lately, losing 50% of their last six matches, while NEC Nijmegen has faced three defeats in their last six away fixtures. Historically, Heracles has lost three of their last six head-to-head encounters against NEC Nijmegen.
Key Factors to Consider
- Heracles Almelo remains undefeated in 10 of their last 11 home games and has scored at least one goal in all their last 13 home matches. NEC Nijmegen's performance away from home has been inconsistent.
- Heracles has won two of the last five head-to-head matches against NEC Nijmegen, with NEC winning two as well. One of the recent matches ended in a win for NEC.
- No specific injury details are available.
- External factors such as weather and travel may influence the match, but no specific information is available.
- Both teams are motivated to win, with NEC looking to maintain their position in the league table and Heracles aiming to improve their standing.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Heracles Almelo: 147, NEC Nijmegen: 144, Draw: 275 | Draw or slight edge to NEC Nijmegen | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Spread | Heracles Almelo: 25 -142, NEC Nijmegen: -0.25 122 | Heracles Almelo to cover the spread | ★★★☆☆ 52% |
Over/under | Over: 3 -119, Under: 3 -101 | Over 3 goals | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Draw -2% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 3 1% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3 at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given NEC Nijmegen's slightly better league position and recent performance, they might have a slight edge, but Heracles's home record could lead to a competitive match.
Predicted Score: 2-2