Match Analysis: Heracles Almelo vs Go Ahead Eagles – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-22
- Time: 8:00 PM UTC
- Location: Asito Stadium, Almelo, Netherlands
Game Overview
This Eredivisie clash pits Heracles Almelo, currently at the bottom of the table, against Go Ahead Eagles, who are mid-table and fighting for European qualification. Heracles have shown recent improvement with three consecutive wins, including a dominant 8-2 victory over PEC Zwolle, but remain in the relegation zone. Go Ahead Eagles have struggled away from home, managing only one win in six road matches this season, and have a poor record in Almelo over the last decade. Both teams are coming off positive results before the international break, adding motivation for continued momentum.
Key Factors to Consider
- Heracles Almelo have lost each of their opening six matches but responded with three straight wins, including a 3-0 win over Sparta Rotterdam and an 8-2 demolition of PEC Zwolle. Their form is W-L-L-L-W-W. Go Ahead Eagles are one of four teams on 16 points, outside the European spots only on goal difference. They have managed just one win in six away matches and have only one win in their last eight visits to Almelo. Heracles have conceded 23 goals in 10 matches, indicating defensive vulnerability, while Go Ahead Eagles have scored 19 goals, with nearly a third coming in the final 15 minutes of matches.
- The historical head-to-head record favors Heracles Almelo with 8 wins, Go Ahead Eagles with 5 wins, and 2 draws. Recent meetings include a 4-2 win for Heracles in February 2025, a 4-1 win for Go Ahead Eagles in October 2024, and a 2-0 win for Heracles in March 2024. Go Ahead Eagles have struggled in Almelo, with only one win in the last eight visits.
- No specific injury or suspension information is available for either team at this time.
- Heracles Almelo are playing at home, where they have shown recent improvement. Go Ahead Eagles have a poor away record and a history of struggling in Almelo. The match is being played after the international break, which could affect player freshness and team cohesion.
- Heracles Almelo are fighting to escape the relegation zone and could climb out with a win. Go Ahead Eagles are aiming to maintain their position in the top half and potentially secure European qualification, but a loss could see them drop as many as five places.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Heracles Almelo: 155, Go Ahead Eagles: 153, Draw: 260 | Heracles Almelo | β β β ββ 60% |
| Spread | Heracles Almelo: 0 -110, Go Ahead Eagles: 0 -110 | Heracles Almelo | β β β ββ 55% |
| Over/under | Over 3: -108, Under 3: -112 | Over 3 | β β β ββ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Heracles Almelo 2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 3 12% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 3 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Heracles Almelo are showing signs of improvement and have a strong home advantage, while Go Ahead Eagles have struggled away and in Almelo. The recent form and historical head-to-head suggest a close match, but Heracles' recent wins and home advantage give them a slight edge. However, Go Ahead Eagles' ability to score late goals could be a factor.
Predicted Score: 2-2