Match Analysis: Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-21
- Time: 12:30 PM UTC
- Location: Abe Lenstra Stadion
Game Overview
Heerenveen and NEC Nijmegen meet in a closely contested Eredivisie fixture where both teams have shown mixed recent form, with NEC slightly more efficient offensively, but traveling away from home. The match is expected to be tight with scoring chances on both sides.
Key Factors to Consider
- Heerenveen have struggled for wins early this season, showing possession control but poor finishing. NEC Nijmegen have scored well but also conceded heavily recently, suffering back-to-back losses including a 5-3 loss to PSV.
- Recent encounters suggest a very narrow margin; the previous H2H saw Heerenveen narrowly win 1-0 away, indicating a competitive but low-margin matchup.
- No major injury reports contradicting either side's usual first-choice lineup; squads expected near full strength.
- Match played at Abe Lenstra Stadion gives Heerenveen home advantage. No significant weather or other disruptive factors reported.
- Heerenveen are eager to turn their slow start into positive results at home, while NEC seek to regain form and stop a losing streak.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Heerenveen: +134, NEC Nijmegen: +159, Draw: +300 | Draw | β β β ββ 65% |
Spread | Heerenveen 0: -122, NEC Nijmegen 0: +102 | NEC Nijmegen +0 (Asian Handicap) | β β β β β 70% |
Over/under | Over 3.25: -112, Under 3.25: -108 | Over 3.25 goals | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Heerenveen 40% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 3.25 8% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Heerenveen at 40% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Draw
Predicted Score: 1-1