Match Analysis: Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Heidenheim – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-20
- Time: 1:30 PM UTC
- Location: Volksparkstadion
Game Overview
Hamburger SV host 1. FC Heidenheim in a crucial Bundesliga clash as both teams struggle near the relegation zone seeking their first win. The match is expected to be competitive with slight home advantage for Hamburg.
Key Factors to Consider
- Both teams have had slow starts with no wins yet. Hamburger SV shows a stronger home record and better recent attacking form. Heidenheim has shown vulnerability defensively away from home.
- Hamburger SV has had a solid record against Heidenheim at home, historically edging them in key encounters.
- No significant injury reports affecting first-team starters for either side, maintaining stable line-ups.
- Home crowd support at Volksparkstadion is expected to boost Hamburg. Weather and pitch conditions are typical with no adverse effects.
- Both teams are highly motivated to escape the relegation zone. Hamburger SV’s desire to secure first home win should provide extra impetus.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Hamburger SV: 106, Draw: 245, 1. FC Heidenheim: 260 | Hamburger SV | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Spread | Hamburger SV -0.5: 105, 1. FC Heidenheim +50: -125 | Hamburger SV -0.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Over/under | Over 2.5: -120, Under 2.5: 100 | Over 2.5 goals | ★★★☆☆ 67% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Hamburger SV 19% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.5 12% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Hamburger SV at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Hamburger SV to win on the moneyline, covering the -0.5 spread, with a match total over 2.5 goals.
Predicted Score: 2-1