Match Analysis: Groningen vs Heerenveen – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-16
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Euroborg Stadium, Groningen
Game Overview
This Eerste Divisie encounter sees Groningen hosting Heerenveen at Euroborg. Groningen seeks redemption after a loss in their season opener, while Heerenveen aim to build on a solid draw. Both teams display similar mid-table form with Groningen having a slightly weaker defensive record.
Key Factors to Consider
- Groningen started the season with a loss but showed offensive resilience, scoring against a strong AZ Alkmaar side. Heerenveen drew their opener and have a slightly better recent form over 5 matches (WLWWL vs LLLWW). Overall, both teams are close in quality but Groningen shows a boost from home advantage.
- Groningen have won the last two meetings against Heerenveen, showing a recent psychological and tactical edge. Historically, matches tend to be competitive with both teams scoring.
- No major injury reports affecting squad strength for either side. Both teams appear to have key players available, sustaining usual season starting dynamics.
- Home advantage at Euroborg is significant for Groningen, with strong local support expected. Weather and pitch conditions are normal for August in the Netherlands, favoring technical play.
- Groningen is motivated to recover from their opening defeat and secure a positive home result. Heerenveen also strives to maintain unbeaten momentum and accumulate points early in the season.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | 117 (Groningen) / 220 (Heerenveen) / 240 (Draw) | Groningen | β β β ββ 68% |
Spread | -0.25 Groningen (-112), +25 Heerenveen (-108) | Groningen -0.25 | β β β ββ 63% |
Over/under | Over 2.5 (-108), Under 2.5 (-112) | Over 2.5 | β β β ββ 59% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Groningen 22% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.5 4% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Groningen at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Groningen to win on the moneyline, -0.25 spread for Groningen, and over 2.5 goals
Predicted Score: 2-1