Match Analysis: Grêmio vs Ceará – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-24
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Brazil
Game Overview
Grêmio hosts Ceará in a Brasileirão Betano match where Grêmio currently ranks 15th and Ceará 10th. Recent encounters and their current standings show Ceará with a slight edge in form and points, but Grêmio plays at home, which is a strong factor.
Key Factors to Consider
- Grêmio has 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses in their last 10 matches but a poor defense conceding 25 goals. Ceará has 5 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, scoring 19 and conceding 19, indicating better balance and recent results.
- Historical H2H is balanced with 6 wins each and 2 draws in 14 encounters, though Ceará won their last meeting 2-0. At home, Grêmio tends to perform better but has struggled defensively against Ceará.
- There is no publicized major injury impacting either side significantly that would alter the core line-ups.
- Playing at Arena do Grêmio provides a home advantage for Grêmio. Weather and pitch conditions expected to be neutral and not favoring any side.
- Both teams are mid-table with Ceará slightly better positioned, possibly giving Ceará more motivation to maintain or improve league standing; Grêmio aims to leverage home advantage to gather crucial points.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Grêmio: 101, Draw: 212, Ceará: 305 | Grêmio | ★★★★☆ 72% |
Spread | Grêmio -0.5: 102, Ceará +50: -122 | Grêmio -0.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Over/under | Over 2: -118, Under 2: -102 | Under 2 goals | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Grêmio 25% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2 23% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Grêmio at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Grêmio win; Spread: Grêmio -0.5; Over/Under: Under 2 goals
Predicted Score: 1-0