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Grêmio vs. Bahia Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Grêmio vs Bahia – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-25
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Brazil

Game Overview

This match pits Grêmio against Bahia in the Brazilian Campeonato. Grêmio has a slight edge historically, but Bahia has shown recent form improvement. The match is expected to be competitive, with both teams capable of scoring.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Grêmio has a traditionally strong record, while Bahia has improved recently. Grêmio's home advantage is a significant factor.
  • Grêmio has historically won more matches against Bahia, but recent encounters have been closely contested.
  • Grêmio has injuries to key players like Cristian Olivera and Jemerson, while Bahia is dealing with injuries to Luciano Rodríguez and Jean Lucas.
  • The match is at Grêmio's home ground, which could influence the outcome.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure points, but Grêmio may have an edge due to their historical dominance.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Grêmio: 145, Bahia: 205, Draw: 215 Grêmio win ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Grêmio: -0.25 110, Bahia: 25 -130 Grêmio covers ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over: 2.25 -105, Under: 2.25 -115 Under ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Grêmio -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Grêmio is likely to win due to their home advantage and historical dominance, but Bahia's recent form suggests a close match.

Predicted Score: Grêmio 1, Bahia 0


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Vitoria vs. Santos Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Vitoria vs Santos – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-25
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Manoel Barradas, Salvador, BRA

Game Overview

The Brasileiro Serie A match between Vitória and Santos promises a competitive encounter as Vitória hosts Santos at Estádio Manoel Barradas. Vitória currently sits in 16th place with 9 points and has demonstrated some home strength with 2 wins in 4 home matches. Santos, struggling badly with only 5 points in 19th place, are winless in 7 of their last 8 matches and have lost 67% of their last 6 games. Historically, Vitória has had difficulty against Santos, losing 13 of their last 23 encounters and suffering consecutive head-to-head defeats at home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Vitória shows moderate home form but overall a weak campaign with only 2 wins in last 11 Serie A games. Santos is in poor form with very few wins recently and a severe struggle to secure positive results, reflecting low confidence and poor attacking output.
  • Santos have dominated recent meetings, with Vitória losing their last 4 home games against Santos and 3 consecutive home HT/FT results going in Santos' favor.
  • No detailed injury reports available from the current data; assume key players likely to be available given no substitutions or absences reported.
  • Neymar's recent criticism for missing games due to Carnival celebrations might affect Santos team morale and public perception. No major external disruptions reported for Vitória.
  • Both teams are motivated to improve their league standing, with Vitória aiming to consolidate safety and Santos desperate to exit the relegation zone.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Santos: 240, Vitoria: 120, Draw: 225 Vitoria win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Santos: 25 -110, Vitoria: -0.25 -110 Vitoria -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 2 -115, Under: 2 -105 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Vitoria -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the historical dominance of Santos over Vitória, despite Santos' poor current form, and Vitória's moderate home advantage, the match is likely to be closely contested. A narrow Vitória win is predicted, capitalizing on home conditions and Santos' inconsistent recent displays.

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Sport Recife vs. Internacional Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Sport Recife vs Internacional – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-25
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Ilha do Retiro

Game Overview

The upcoming Campeonato Brasileiro Série A match between Sport Recife and Internacional is set for May 25, 2025, at Ilha do Retiro. Sport Recife returns to the top flight after three seasons in Série B and currently sits near the bottom of the league standings. Internacional is positioned mid-table and recently won the Campeonato Gaúcho, demonstrating strong regional form. Both teams have had mixed results in national and continental competitions this season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sport Recife is struggling in Série A, ranked 20th, with a history of promotion pressure and adjusting to top-tier competition. Internacional, placed 12th, shows more consistent form, having won the Campeonato Gaúcho and competing in the Copa Libertadores group stage, indicating stronger squad depth and form.
  • Historical data indicates that Internacional generally holds an advantage over Sport Recife in recent encounters, particularly given Sport Recife's recent promotion and adaptation phase. The home advantage for Sport Recife at Ilha do Retiro may mitigate this somewhat, but Internacional's superior form and higher league placement give them a competitive edge.
  • No specific injury data is available from the current sources, but monitoring last-minute squad updates is recommended as injuries could impact lineup decisions.
  • The match is played at Sport Recife's home stadium, Ilha do Retiro, which may provide a motivational boost for the hosts. Weather conditions and fan attendance with promotional ticket sales suggest a lively atmosphere benefiting the home side.
  • Sport Recife aims to improve their league standing by capitalizing on home advantage, while Internacional seeks to maintain or improve their mid-table position and build momentum for upcoming fixtures in national and continental competitions.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sport Recife: 155, Internacional: 185, Draw: 225 Sport Recife to win ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread Sport Recife (0): -122, Internacional (0): 102 Sport Recife on spread (0) ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over 2.25: 100, Under 2.25: -120 Under 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sport Recife 7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Internacional's stronger form, recent regional success, and overall squad quality, the prediction favors Internacional to win or at least secure a draw. However, Sport Recife's home advantage and desperation to climb the league could keep the match tightly contested.

Predicted Score: 1-1


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Palmeiras vs. Flamengo Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Palmeiras vs Flamengo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-25
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Palmeiras Home Stadium

Game Overview

This Brasileirão match features Palmeiras hosting Flamengo, two of Brazil's top teams with a long-standing rivalry. Palmeiras has a slight historical edge at home, while Flamengo enters in solid recent form. The match is expected to be tightly contested with both sides capable of scoring.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Palmeiras has won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 1.6 goals and conceding just 0.2 per game, showing defensive solidity but some recent inconsistency. Flamengo is in better recent form with 3 wins and 2 draws, scoring 1.0 goal per match and conceding 0.6 on average, displaying resilience and stability.
  • In their last 45 meetings since 2004, Palmeiras won 15, Flamengo 14, and 16 matches ended in draws. The teams are evenly matched historically with slight variations depending on venue. Average goals per game in their recent encounters hover around 2.5-3, indicating a moderate-scoring trend.
  • Current data do not specify notable injuries for either side, suggesting both teams could field close to their strongest starting elevens.
  • No major external factors reported affecting the match day conditions. Match played in Palmeiras home ground, giving them slight advantage.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure points to advance in standings, with Palmeiras hoping to capitalize on home advantage and Flamengo aiming to continue their unbeaten recent streak.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Flamengo: 230, Palmeiras: 135, Draw: 210 Palmeiras Win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Flamengo: 25 -118, Palmeiras: -0.25 -102 Palmeiras -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 2 105, Under: 2 -125 Under 2 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Palmeiras 29%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 26%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Palmeiras at 29% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Palmeiras to edge a close contest with a narrow win due to home strength and slightly better defensive record.

Predicted Score: Palmeiras 2 – 1 Flamengo


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Atletico Mineiro vs. Corinthians Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Atletico Mineiro vs Corinthians – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-24
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Arena MRV, Belo Horizonte, MG

Game Overview

The upcoming Campeonato Brasileiro match features Atlético Mineiro hosting Corinthians at the Arena MRV in Belo Horizonte. The match is scheduled for May 24, 2025, at 21:00 local time. Both teams are competing in Brazil's top flight, and this fixture will be part of the 10th round of the league. Atlético Mineiro aims to leverage home advantage against Corinthians, a competitive side with a recent loss at the same venue.[1][2]

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atlético Mineiro has been showing strong performances at home in the current season, maintaining good form going into this match. Corinthians have shown resilience but lost their last encounter at Arena MRV 2-1 in July 2024, indicating a slight edge for the home team based on recent history.[2]
  • The last competitive match between these two sides was on July 28, 2024, where Atlético Mineiro secured a 2-1 victory at Arena MRV. Historically, Atlético Mineiro has had a favorable record at home against Corinthians, further influencing expectations for this game.[2]
  • No specific injury reports or squad absences were detailed in the current information sources for this match, suggesting both teams might field their strongest lineups. Monitoring close to matchday for any last-minute changes is advised.[1][2]
  • The match will be played under normal weather conditions at a stadium with a strong home crowd presence, given the ticket sales and fan engagement. The stadium has a capacity of 46,000, and ticket sales have been progressing with a structured access system, potentially boosting Atlético Mineiro’s motivation.[3]
  • Atlético Mineiro will be motivated to capitalize on home advantage and recent positive results against Corinthians. Conversely, Corinthians will be eager to avenge their previous defeat at the venue and improve their standing in the league, making the contest competitive and intense.[2][3]

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline atletico_mineiro: -125, corinthians: 360, draw: 255 Atlético Mineiro to win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread atletico_mineiro: -0.5 -120, corinthians: 50 100 Atlético Mineiro -0.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under over: 2.25 -108, under: 2.25 -112 Under 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atletico Mineiro 153%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Atletico Mineiro at 153% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 42.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Considering recent results, home advantage, and current odds, Atlético Mineiro is favored to win this match with a moderately high confidence level. The expected match will be competitive but tilt towards Atlético Mineiro securing a home victory.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Sao Paulo vs. Mirassol Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Sao Paulo vs Mirassol – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-24
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo (Morumbi)

Game Overview

Sao Paulo, a dominant force in recent head-to-heads, faces Mirassol, who are in strong form and currently higher in recent league standings. Recent stats suggest Sao Paulo typically controls play at home, while Mirassol shows resilience and improvement in away fixtures.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sao Paulo is in good home form with recent wins at Morumbi. Mirassol has won their last five matches in Paulista A1, including two away. Both teams show solid but fluctuating form, with Sao Paulo generally stronger at home.
  • Sao Paulo holds a clear advantage historically, with 9–10 wins, 1 loss, and 4 draws out of 14–15 matches. Average goals per match tend to be high (around 3.07), with Sao Paulo scoring more and conceding fewer.
  • No significant injury news reported for either team at this time.
  • Sao Paulo playing at home (Morumbi) with home crowd support. Weather is expected to be normal for the season.
  • Both teams have solid league positions, with potential motivation to secure higher spots for tournament seeding or pride.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline {Sao Paulo: -152, Draw: 258, Mirassol: 495} Sao Paulo Moneyline ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread {Sao Paulo -0.75: -117, Mirassol +75: -103} Sao Paulo -0.75 (win by at least 1 goal) ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under {Over 2.25: 100, Under 2.25: -120} Over 2.25 Goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sao Paulo 11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.25 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.25 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sao Paulo is favored due to home advantage and historical head-to-head dominance. However, Mirassol’s recent strong form suggests they could present a challenge. Expect a tight match with a likely home win, but Mirassol could keep it close.

Predicted Score: Sao Paulo 2-1 Mirassol


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Fluminense vs. Vasco da Gama Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-24
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Game Overview

The match between Fluminense and Vasco da Gama is part of the Brasileirão Betano, with Fluminense currently ranked 7th and Vasco da Gama at 13th. Fluminense has been performing well in recent matches, while Vasco da Gama has struggled, losing all their recent Serie A encounters.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Fluminense generally has a strong performance record, while Vasco da Gama has been in poor form lately.
  • In head-to-head matches, Fluminense has won fewer times than Vasco da Gama overall, but they have a recent advantage, winning 4 of the last 5 matches.
  • No specific injury information is available for this match.
  • Home advantage at the Estádio do Maracanã could favor Fluminense.
  • Fluminense is likely more motivated to maintain their higher league position.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -135 for Fluminense, 390 for Vasco da Gama, 265 for a Draw Fluminense to win ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread -0.75 for Fluminense at 100, 75 for Vasco da Gama at -120 Fluminense to cover the spread ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.25 at -102, Under 2.25 at -118 Over ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Fluminense -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.25 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.25 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Fluminense is expected to win, given their recent form and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Fluminense 2 – 1 Vasco da Gama


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Internacional vs. Mirassol Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Internacional vs Mirassol – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-18
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Beira-Rio, Porto Alegre

Game Overview

Internacional hosts Mirassol in a Brazilian Serie A match. Internacional is favored to win, reflecting their stronger position in the league compared to Mirassol. The odds suggest a home win, with Internacional having a moneyline of -175.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Internacional has historically performed better in league matches, with a strong home record. Mirassol has shown some unpredictability in recent games, but overall, they are considered underdogs.
  • Limited recent head-to-head data available, but Internacional typically has the upper hand in past encounters.
  • No significant injury reports for either team are available at this time.
  • The match is scheduled during a period of hectic league fixtures, which might affect team performance.
  • Internacional is motivated to secure a win, given their aim to maintain their league position, while Mirassol seeks to upset the odds and climb the table.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -175 (Internacional), 500 (Mirassol), 310 (Draw) Internacional ★★★★☆ 80%
Spread -1 100 (Internacional), 1 -120 (Mirassol) Internacional -1 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.25 -122, Under 2.25 102 Over 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Internacional -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.25 0%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.25 at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Internacional is likely to win, considering their home advantage and recent form.

Predicted Score: 2-1 in favor of Internacional


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Cruzeiro vs. Atletico Mineiro Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Cruzeiro vs Atletico Mineiro – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-18
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Governador Magalhães Pinto, Belo Horizonte, Brazil

Game Overview

This Campeonato match between Cruzeiro and Atlético Mineiro promises to be highly competitive, given their historical head-to-head record and recent performances. Both teams have shown varying degrees of success in their past encounters.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cruzeiro has generally been strong at home, but their overall performance in recent matches has been inconsistent. Atlético Mineiro, on the other hand, has shown mixed results, with significant wins and losses.
  • The head-to-head record between the two teams is closely matched, with Cruzeiro winning 33 times out of 83 meetings, and Atlético Mineiro winning substantially in recent years, especially in the last 34 meetings where they won 17 times.
  • No significant injury reports have been detailed for either team, which could impact their performance.
  • Weather conditions and crowd support could influence the match, but specific details are not available.
  • Both teams have strong motivations to win, given the competition's structure and their standings in the league.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cruzeiro: 155, Atlético Mineiro: 200, Draw: 205 Atlético Mineiro ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread Cruzeiro: 0 -128, Atlético Mineiro: 0 108 Atlético Mineiro ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over 2: -110, Under 2: -110 Over 2 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cruzeiro 28%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Cruzeiro at 28% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Atlético Mineiro is favored based on recent performance trends, but the match is poised to be closely contested given the teams' historical head-to-head dynamics.

Predicted Score: 2-1 in favor of Atlético Mineiro


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Flamengo vs. Botafogo Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Flamengo vs Botafogo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-18
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Game Overview

Flamengo vs Botafogo is a high-stakes match in the Brazilian Campeonato, with Flamengo favored due to their strong past performances against Botafogo. Flamengo has a significant edge in head-to-head statistics, but Botafogo has shown resilience in recent games.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Flamengo has historically dominated over Botafogo, winning 36 of their last 80 encounters. However, Botafogo has shown strong recent form, winning 4 of their last 5 games.
  • Flamengo leads in head-to-head matches with 36 wins compared to Botafogo's 15 wins and 29 draws since 2004.
  • No significant injury updates are available for this match.
  • External factors such as weather and crowd support may favor Flamengo, given the match is at their home stadium.
  • Both teams are motivated for league points, but Flamengo might have an edge due to their dominance in past encounters.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Flamengo -165, Botafogo 500, Draw 285 Flamengo ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Flamengo -0.75 -125, Botafogo +75 105 Flamengo -0.75 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over 2.25 100, Under 2.25 -120 Over 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 52%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Flamengo -12%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.25 2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.25 at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Flamengo is likely to win due to their strong past performance against Botafogo and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Flamengo 2 – 0 Botafogo


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