Match Analysis: Girona vs Oviedo – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-25
- Time: 12:00 PM UTC
- Location: Montilivi Stadium, Girona
Game Overview
Girona hosts Oviedo in a La Liga match where Girona is the clear favorite given recent form, stronger home performance, and Oviedo's struggles away. Odds imply Girona should control the match, but an upset is possible if Oviedo exploits counterattacks.
Key Factors to Consider
- Girona has demonstrated consistent form at home, with a winning probability model around 52%. Oviedo have struggled on the road with under 25% win chances away in recent fixtures.
- Recent H2H in La Liga between Girona and Oviedo shows Girona with a slight edge in wins and goals scored. Matches tend to be moderately low scoring.
- No major injury concerns reported for either side at this time, with both teams likely fielding strong lineups.
- Match is played at Girona's home stadium (Montilivi), providing them a distinct home advantage. Weather and pitch conditions are expected to be normal with no disruptions.
- Girona is highly motivated to capitalize on home advantage for league position improvement. Oviedo may struggle with motivation away from home, given their form.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -125 / +370 / +250 | Girona | ★★★★☆ 72% |
| Spread | -0.5 -125 (Girona) / +50 +105 (Oviedo) | Girona -0.5 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 2.25 -122 / Under 2.25 +102 | Under 2.25 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Girona 8% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.25 13% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Girona moneyline win
Predicted Score: 2-1