Match Analysis: Girona vs Levante – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-20
- Time: 12:00 PM UTC
- Location: Estadi Montilivi, Girona
Game Overview
Girona hosts Levante in a La Liga matchup where Girona enters as the favorite with solid home form and more favorable recent results, while Levante has struggled in away games and with squad injuries.
Key Factors to Consider
- Girona has shown better recent form with a higher win rate at home compared to Levante's poor away record. Girona's offense is moderately productive, while Levante's attack struggles on the road.
- Girona holds an advantage in recent head-to-head clashes, winning more of their last meetings and scoring more goals overall against Levante.
- Levante has key players sidelined affecting their midfield creativity and defense stability; Girona's injury list is minimal, maintaining a near full-strength lineup.
- No significant external disruptions noted. Stable weather and pitch conditions expected at Gironaβs home stadium.
- Girona is motivated to solidify their home standing early in the season, whereas Levante is under pressure to improve results to avoid relegation battles.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Girona -109, Levante +290, Draw +260 | Girona | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | Girona -0.5 -110, Levante +50 -110 | Girona -0.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over 2.5 -112, Under 2.5 -108 | Under 2.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Girona 11% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 16% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Girona to win outright with moderate goal scoring expected, favoring a tight game under 2.5 goals.
Predicted Score: 1-0