Match Analysis: Gil Vicente vs Moreirense FC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-29
- Time: 7:15 PM UTC
- Location: Estádio Cidade de Barcelos
Game Overview
The matchup features Gil Vicente as home favorites against Moreirense FC, both teams with mixed recent form and a history of close encounters. Moreirense has a slight upper hand in recent H2H results and a stronger start to the current season. Gil Vicente displays a tendency for low-scoring games.
Key Factors to Consider
- Gil Vicente has 4 points from 3 matches with no wins in last two games and a poor run at season end; Moreirense started with 100% wins historically this season and holds a better recent league position.
- In last 10 meetings, Moreirense leads with 5 wins vs Gil Vicente’s 2 and 3 draws. Historically, matches are tight and often low-scoring with common results 1-1 and 2-1.
- Gil Vicente has no reported injury concerns currently; Moreirense status less clear but no major injury flags reported.
- Home advantage for Gil Vicente at Estádio Cidade de Barcelos; weather or other external conditions not specified but no known adverse impact.
- Moreirense's perfect winning record this season suggests higher motivation; Gil Vicente looking to break a winless streak and improve league standing.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | 138 (Gil Vicente), 240 (Moreirense), 185 (Draw) | Gil Vicente | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
Spread | Gil Vicente -0.25 (102), Moreirense +25 (-122) | Gil Vicente -0.25 | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Over/under | Over 2 -110, Under 2 -110 | Under 2 goals | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Gil Vicente 31% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2 34% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Gil Vicente to win on the moneyline, with cautious confidence due to home advantage and slightly favourable odds, despite Moreirense’s form.
Predicted Score: 1-0