Match Analysis: Getafe vs Oviedo – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-13
- Time: 12:00 PM UTC
- Location: Estadio Coliseum
Game Overview
Getafe hosts Real Oviedo in a La Liga clash with Getafe as slight favorites. The teams show a clear disparity in recent form and home/away performance, suggesting Getafe holds an advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
- Getafe demonstrates stronger recent form and home advantage, having a positive record at Estadio Coliseum. Oviedo struggles significantly on the road with only 2 wins in their last 17 away games.
- Historically, Getafe has a better record versus Oviedo with higher odds support for the home side. Probabilistic simulations give Getafe roughly a 48% chance to win, Oviedo about 24%, and draws near 29%.
- No significant injuries reported for either side that would materially affect the starting XI or tactics.
- Neutral conditions expected with no extreme weather or travel concerns; venue favors home side Getafe.
- Getafe is motivated to solidify early season standing at home, while Oviedo faces pressure due to poor away performances, potentially affecting confidence.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Getafe: -102, Oviedo: 370, Draw: 200 | Getafe | β β β β β 74% |
Spread | Getafe -0.5: -102, Oviedo +50: -118 | Getafe -0.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over 2 goals: +105, Under 2 goals: -125 | Under 2 goals | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Getafe 19% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2 8% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Getafe at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Getafe win; Spread: Getafe -0.5; Over/Under: Under 2 goals
Predicted Score: 1-0