Genoa and Udinese face off in a Serie A match at Luigi Ferraris. Recent form shows both teams are inconsistent, with Genoa having a slight edge at home.
Key Factors to Consider
Genoa and Udinese have shown mixed form over the past month. Genoa has had a recent win but is otherwise inconsistent, while Udinese has had more losses.
Genoa has historically performed well head-to-head, winning recent matches against Udinese. However, overall head-to-heads show a tight race.
No recent injury reports have significantly impacted the lineups.
Home advantage might benefit Genoa, but crowd support can be variable.
Both teams need points for their standings, so motivation is high on both sides.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Genoa: 2.50, Udinese: 3.10, Draw: 3.05
Genoa
★★☆☆☆ 39%
Spread
Genoa: 0 -136, Udinese: 0 113
Genoa
★★☆☆☆ 39%
Over_under
Over 2: 1.89, Under 2: 1.93
Under 2
★★★☆☆ 55%
Predicted Outcome
Genoa to win
Predicted Score: 1-0
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Genoa vs. Udinese Prediction
Match Analysis: Genoa vs Udinese – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-04-04 Time: 6:45 PM UTC Location: Luigi Ferraris, Genoa, Italy Game Overview Genoa and Udinese face off in a Serie A match at Luigi Ferraris. Recent form shows both teams are inconsistent, with Genoa having a slight edge at home. Key Factors to Consider Genoa […]
Inter Milan hosts Lazio in a pivotal Serie A clash at San Siro. Inter sits near the top of the table with strong form, while Lazio is mid-table and inconsistent. Inter is favored to win, but Lazio has shown resilience in recent meetings.
Key Factors to Consider
Inter Milan is 7-3-0 in their last 10, with a +12 goal difference and dominant home form. Lazio is 4-3-3, with a +6 goal difference and inconsistent away results. Inter has won 4 of their last 5, while Lazio has struggled against top sides.
Inter has won 3 of the last 5 meetings, with Lazio managing only one win. Recent H2H is tight, but Inter has a clear edge at home.
No major injuries reported for either side. Both teams are at full strength for this fixture.
Inter is playing at home with a packed San Siro, which adds to their advantage. Weather is expected to be clear, with no impact on play.
Inter is fighting for the title and will be highly motivated to win. Lazio is mid-table and may lack the same urgency, but will look to upset the leaders.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
home: -255, away: 575, draw: 420
Inter Milan
★★★★☆ 74%
Spread
home: -112, away: -108
Lazio +1.25
★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under
over: -118, under: -102
Under 2.75
★★★☆☆ 68%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Inter Milan -5%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.75 35%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 35% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 35.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Inter Milan wins, but Lazio covers the spread. Expect a tight match with under 2.75 goals.
AS Roma, playing at home, are in solid form with a strong winning record against Udinese. Udinese has mixed Serie A form with occasional away success, but Roma’s home dominance and current momentum favor the home side.
Key Factors to Consider
Roma holds 21 points with strong home form including recent wins, while Udinese has 15 points and inconsistent away results. Roma won 4 of their last 5 matches, Udinese won 2 of last 5 with mixed form.
Roma has dominated recent clashes, winning 31 of 44 historical meetings and 11 of the last 12 home games vs Udinese. Recent results show multiple 2-3 goal wins by Roma over Udinese.
No major injury news reported affecting starting lineups for either team, suggesting near full-strength squads.
Match played at Roma’s home stadium, providing usual home advantage. No weather or logistical issues reported.
Roma aims to consolidate their higher league position and maintain home dominance, while Udinese targets an upset to improve their mid-table standing.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
home: -176, away: 500, draw: 295
AS Roma
★★★★☆ 78%
Spread
AS Roma: -1 (102), Udinese: +1 (-122)
AS Roma -1
★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under
over 2.25: -125, under 2.25: 105
Under 2.25 goals
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
AS Roma 0%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.25 23%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Roma to win on the moneyline, covering the -1 spread, and the match to finish under 2.25 goals.
Napoli enters the match as a slight favorite based on odds, but Bologna has shown resilience at home and strong defensive tactics. Napoli has a better overall form but is currently experiencing a dip in attacking efficiency. This matchup is expected to be tightly contested with limited goal-scoring opportunities.
Key Factors to Consider
Napoli holds a superior league record at 7-2-1, while Bologna is 5-2-3, showing solid but less consistent form. Napoli struggles in recent matches with only one goal in three, indicating offensive issues, while Bologna thrives on organized defense and counterattacks.
Recent head-to-head meetings have been low scoring, with under 2.5 goals in 3 of the last 4 encounters and multiple goalless draws, suggesting a defensive stalemate likely.
No significant injuries reported impacting starting lineups for either side, maintaining expected starting strengths and tactical setups.
Playing at home benefits Bologna, providing motivation and familiar conditions. Napoli faces a challenging away fixture but typically performs well on the road.
Bologna aims to capitalize on home advantage to improve their standing, while Napoli’s motivation is to maintain pace in Serie A title contention despite recent scoring woes.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
190 (Bologna), 161 (Napoli), 205 (Draw)
Bologna
★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread
Bologna 0 +102, Napoli 0 -122
Bologna +0
★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under
Over 2 -120, Under 2 100
Under 2 goals
★★★★☆ 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Bologna 45%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2 40%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Bologna at 45% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Genoa and Fiorentina face off in a crucial Serie A match with both teams struggling near the bottom of the table. Fiorentina are slight favorites but both sides have low scoring rates, hinting at a tight, low-scoring contest.
Key Factors to Consider
Genoa have won only 1 of their last 10 matches and are 0-3 in their last five games. Fiorentina have a 0-6-4 record with similarly poor scoring, having netted only 7 goals in 10 games. Both teams struggle offensively, which lowers scoring expectations.
Fiorentina have been dominant historically at this venue, unbeaten in the last nine meetings against Genoa and winners in the last three trips to Genoa. This gives Fiorentina a psychological edge despite current form challenges.
No critical injury details are currently available from the sources; both teams enter with their debutants adaptive to Serie A which might impact rhythm.
Public betting heavily favors Genoa at 86% of bets, potentially skewing odds. The match venue, Luigi Ferraris, traditionally favors the home side, but Genoa's poor form diminishes this advantage.
Both teams face relegation pressure, enhancing the importance of this match. The winner not only gains points but significantly boosts survival aspirations, likely causing cautious and defensive play from both sides.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Fiorentina: 169, Genoa: 193, Draw: 195
Draw
★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread
Fiorentina: -120, Genoa: 100
Genoa +0
★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under
Over 2 goals: -115, Under 2 goals: -105
Under 2 goals
★★★★☆ 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Draw 18%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2 37%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 37% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 38.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Atalanta BC hosts Sassuolo in a Serie A clash where both teams are level on 13 points and closely matched in league standings. Atalanta aims to end a winless streak and regain stability, while Sassuolo hopes to secure valuable points to climb the table.
Key Factors to Consider
Atalanta has struggled recently without consistent wins but benefits from playing at home and their historical dominance. Sassuolo is performing steadily but lacks the ability to consistently challenge stronger sides.
Atalanta holds a significant edge over Sassuolo with 19 wins in their last 28 encounters, including recent 2-0 and 3-0 league wins and a 3-1 cup victory.
No major injury reports available, suggesting both lineups should be near full strength.
Match played at Atalanta’s home, Gewiss Stadium, provides home advantage. Weather and travel conditions are typical with no disruptions expected.
Atalanta is motivated to break their winless spell and reclaim momentum; Sassuolo aims to continue securing points to avoid slipping down the table.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Home: -216, Draw: 365, Away: 550
Home (Atalanta BC) win
★★★★☆ 75%
Spread
Atalanta BC -1.25: 105, Sassuolo +1.25: -125
Atalanta BC -1.25
★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under
Over 2.75: -115, Under 2.75: -105
Under 2.75 goals
★★★☆☆ 68%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Atalanta BC -5%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.75 17%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)
AC Milan enter as strong favorites against a struggling Parma side. Milan have been in very good form with a solid unbeaten run, while Parma sit near the bottom of the league with poor offensive output and recent losses. Milan are expected to control the game and secure a win.
Key Factors to Consider
AC Milan are 6-1-3 with consistent form and efficient scoring, while Parma are 1-5-4 struggling to score with only 5 goals in 10 matches and have lost consecutive games.
In 9 recent matchups, Milan has dominated with 6 wins, 2 draws, and only 1 loss. Last season their home win (3-2) and previous Parma upset (2-1) highlight a clear Milan overall advantage.
No significant injuries reported for Milan; Parma have key defensive absences which weaken their ability to hold off Milan’s attack.
Parma’s home advantage is minimal due to poor recent home form. Milan’s motivation to maintain a top-table position adds pressure to perform.
Milan aim to extend their unbeaten streak and strengthen title contention prospects. Parma are fighting to escape relegation but lack confidence and form.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
-162 / 460 / 285
AC Milan
★★★★☆ 78%
Spread
-0.75 AC Milan -125 / +75 Parma +105
AC Milan -0.75
★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under
-118 Over 2.25 / -102 Under 2.25
Under 2.25
★★★☆☆ 68%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
AC Milan 13%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.25 19%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
AC Milan to win on the moneyline, covering the spread, and the match total going under 2.25 goals
Juventus hosts Torino in the Turin derby, with the Bianconeri looking to build on recent improvements under new coach Luciano Spalletti. Both teams enter with high stakes: Juventus chasing a top-four spot, Torino keen to break a long winless streak against their city rivals.
Key Factors to Consider
Juventus have improved notably under Spalletti, winning two of three league games and drawing in midweek Champions League action. They control games, create chances, and have tightened defensively compared to earlier in the season. Torino are more stable than in previous years but struggle for consistency and attacking output.
Juventus dominate the head-to-head, with 27 wins, 1 loss, and 10 draws in the last 38 meetings. Last season, Juventus won at home 2-0 and drew 1-1 away. Torino have not beaten Juventus in years, and their recent progress has been marginal at best.[3][9]
No major injury news reported for either side. Predicted lineups suggest both teams are at near full strength.[4]
No significant external disruptions. Derby atmosphere at Allianz Stadium could slightly favor Juventus’s intensity and crowd support.
Juventus are motivated to chase Champions League spots and build momentum under their new coach. Torino, while improving, are underdogs aiming to defy history and local odds.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Juventus -196, Torino +600, Draw +305
Juventus
★★★★☆ 76%
Spread
Juventus -1 -115, Torino +1 -105
Juventus -1
★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under
Over 2.25 -122, Under 2.25 +102
Under 2.25
★★★☆☆ 66%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Juventus 3%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.25 17%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Juventus are clear favorites based on form, managerial momentum, and historical dominance. Expect a low-scoring, controlled derby win for the hosts.
Como host Cagliari in a Serie A clash where Como are clear favorites, sitting 7th with 17 points and just one loss all season. Cagliari are struggling, having lost their last two matches and showing defensive frailties, especially in the second half. The match is expected to be a test of Como's consistency against a fading away side.
Key Factors to Consider
Como are in excellent form, undefeated since round two and recently held Napoli to a 0-0 draw. They have a solid defensive record and have scored in every home game this season. Cagliari have lost their last two, including a 2-0 defeat at Lazio, and have conceded in the second half in six consecutive Serie A matches.
Como won the last meeting 3-1, and have generally dominated recent encounters. Cagliari have not won at Como in their last five visits.
No major injuries reported for either side. Both teams are expected to field their strongest available lineups.
Como have a strong home record and are playing in front of a supportive crowd. Cagliari have struggled for consistency on the road and lack the stamina to maintain defensive discipline in the second half.
Como are aiming to break into the top six and are in a strong position to do so. Cagliari are fighting to avoid relegation and are under pressure after a poor run of results.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
home: -204, draw: 345, away: 525
Como
★★★★☆ 74%
Spread
home: -1 -120, away: 1 100
Como -1
★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under
over: 2.5 -112, under: 2.5 -108
Under 2.5
★★★★☆ 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Como 1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.5 35%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 35% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Como are the clear favorites and should win this match. Their superior form, defensive organization, and Cagliari's second-half defensive lapses point to a home victory. The game is likely to be low-scoring, with Como controlling possession and Cagliari struggling to create clear chances.
Lecce hosts Hellas Verona in a Serie A clash between two struggling sides. Lecce sits 15th, while Hellas Verona is 19th, both fighting to avoid relegation. Recent form is poor for both, with Lecce winless in five home matches and Verona winless in five away. The H2H record is tight, with Verona edging recent meetings, but Lecce won the last encounter at home. Both teams are low-scoring and defensively vulnerable, setting up a tense, low-event contest.
Key Factors to Consider
Lecce averages 0.50 goals per home game and 1.30 conceded, with only one win in their last 10 home matches. Verona averages 0.60 goals per away game and 1.40 conceded, with two wins in their last 10 away. Both teams have struggled to score and keep clean sheets, with Verona failing to win any of their last five away matches.
Verona leads the H2H with 5 wins in the last 10 meetings, Lecce has 3 wins, and 2 draws. Verona has won 5 of the last 8 H2Hs, but Lecce won the last meeting at home 1-0. At Via del Mare, Verona has won 3 of the last 5 H2Hs, Lecce 2.
No major injuries reported for either side; both teams are at full strength.
Lecce’s home form is abysmal, with only one win in 10 home games. Verona’s away form is also poor, but they have a slight edge in H2H at this venue. The match is played in November, with no weather concerns. Both teams are under pressure to avoid relegation.
Both teams are fighting for survival, but Lecce’s home struggles and Verona’s recent H2H edge at this venue give Verona a slight psychological advantage. Lecce’s motivation is high to end their home win drought, but their form suggests they may struggle.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
home: 174, away: 195, draw: 188
Draw
★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread
home: -118, away: -102
Lecce 0
★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under
over: -112, under: -108
Under 2
★★★★☆ 74%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Draw 9%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2 43%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 43% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 45.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Hellas Verona to win or draw (Double Chance) offers the highest EV, but for single-outcome markets, the safest high-EV play is Under 2.5 goals. Both teams are low-scoring, defensively leaky, and recent H2Hs have seen few goals. The odds on Under 2.5 are attractive given the statistical profile.
