Match Analysis: Genoa vs Juventus – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-31
- Time: 4:30 PM UTC
- Location: Stadio Luigi Ferraris, Genoa, Italy
Game Overview
Genoa host Juventus in a Serie A clash where Juventus are clear favorites despite an away trip. Genoa have shown defensive solidity but have key attackers injured. Juventus seek to capitalize on their quality and experience to secure three points early in the season.
Key Factors to Consider
- Genoa started the season with a defensive 0-0 draw away at Lecce, showing good coordination in defense but lacking attacking firepower due to injuries. Juventus have a stronger squad overall and look to improve after their opening fixtures.
- Juventus have dominated recent encounters against Genoa historically, often winning comfortably. Genoa struggle to break down Juventus, who have superior individual talent.
- Genoa are missing key attackers Caleb Ekuban and Sebastian Otoa, limiting their scoring options. Juventus appear to have no major injury concerns at this time.
- The match is played at Genoaβs home stadium with possibly rainy conditions, which might aid Genoaβs defensive play but unlikely to disrupt Juventusβs overall quality.
- Juventus are motivated to assert dominance early in the season and avoid dropped points. Genoa aim to secure points at home but face an uphill battle against a superior Juventus side.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Genoa: +340, Juventus: -114, Draw: +240 | Juventus | β β β β β 75% |
Spread | Genoa +50: -105, Juventus -0.5: -115 | Juventus -0.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Over/under | Over 2.25: +108, Under 2.25: -128 | Under 2.25 | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Juventus 22% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.25 7% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Juventus at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Juventus to win on the moneyline, Juventus -0.5 on spread, Under 2.25 goals
Predicted Score: 0-2