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Genoa vs. Atalanta BC Prediction Serie A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Genoa vs Atalanta BC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-17
  • Time: 6:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Stadio Luigi Ferraris

Game Overview

Genoa hosts Atalanta in a Serie A match. Genoa has struggled in recent encounters, winning only 8 out of 34 matches against Atalanta. Atalanta is in good form, having won 15 of these matches. The average goals scored in their direct matches is 2.76 per game.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atalanta is performing better, with an average of 1.96 goals per match. Genoa averages 1.37 goals per match. Atalanta's away performance is strong, with 12 wins in their last away matches.
  • Atalanta leads with 15 wins, Genoa has 8 wins, and 11 draws. Recent matches have seen Atalanta dominate, including a 5-1 win in their last encounter.
  • No specific injury reports are available for this match.
  • Atalanta's superior form and recent results give them an edge. However, Genoa's home advantage might influence the outcome.
  • Atalanta will be highly motivated to win, maintaining their strong position in Serie A. Genoa, fighting to avoid relegation, also has strong motivation to secure points.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Atalanta: -150, Genoa: 400, Draw: 300 Atalanta to win ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Atalanta: -0.75 -118, Genoa: 75 -102 Atalanta to cover ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5: -118, Under 2.5: -102 Over 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atalanta BC 200%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Atalanta BC at 200% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 50% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Atalanta is likely to win due to their superior form and recent results against Genoa.

Predicted Score: Genoa 1, Atalanta 2


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Monza vs. Empoli Prediction Serie A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Monza vs Empoli – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-18
  • Time: 6:45 PM UTC
  • Location: U-Power Stadium, Monza, Italy

Game Overview

Monza and Empoli face off in Serie A, with both teams struggling in the league. Monza ranks 20th, while Empoli is 19th, highlighting the importance of this match for both sides.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Empoli has shown slightly better form, especially in away games, winning three. Monza, however, has a tough home record.
  • In their past 7 meetings, Monza won 2, Empoli won 2, and they drew 3, indicating a closely matched rivalry.
  • No specific injury information is available for this match.
  • The pressure to avoid relegation is high for both teams, which could affect their performance.
  • Both teams are highly motivated to secure vital points for survival in Serie A.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Empoli: -135, Monza: 380, Draw: 270 Empoli Win ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Empoli: -0.75 -102, Monza: 75 -118 Empoli Cover ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over: 2.25 -110, Under: 2.25 -110 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 50%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Empoli 4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Empoli's slightly better recent form and Monza's struggling home record, Empoli is favored to win.

Predicted Score: Empoli 1, Monza 0


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Fiorentina vs. Bologna Prediction Serie A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Fiorentina vs Bologna – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-18
  • Time: 6:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence, Italy

Game Overview

The Serie A match between Fiorentina and Bologna is set to be a competitive mid-table clash at Stadio Artemio Franchi. Fiorentina, currently 9th with 59 points, will face 7th placed Bologna, who have 62 points. Both teams have shown mixed recent form with Fiorentina losing 3 of their last 5 league games and Bologna showing an inconsistent pattern but maintaining a slightly higher league standing.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Fiorentina have a home advantage historically, having won 13 of their last 23 home matches against Bologna, with a strong goal difference of 32-14. However, recent form shows Fiorentina suffering losses to Venezia and Roma, and a narrow loss in the UEFA Conference League. Bologna have recorded 16 wins, 14 draws, and 6 losses in the season, indicating resilience but also several draws that could point to cautious gameplay.
  • Historically, Fiorentina have the edge with 19 wins over Bologna’s 9 in 46 meetings, and a goal difference of +17 in their favor (60-43). When Fiorentina play at home, they have a notably strong record with 13 wins, 8 draws, and only 2 losses in the last 23 matches against Bologna. The most frequent result in home games is 1-0 to Fiorentina and the overall most common result between the two sides is a 1-1 draw.
  • Fiorentina are missing key players Danilo Cataldi, Nicolo Zaniolo, and Edoardo Bove, which may impact squad depth and creative options. No specific injury reports for Bologna have been noted, suggesting their squad is relatively fit for this fixture.
  • The match is late in the Serie A season (gameweek 37), so fatigue and motivation linked to league position or European qualification could influence team performance. Weather and travel conditions are typical for May in Florence and favor home team familiarity.
  • Bologna, positioned higher in the table, may be motivated to consolidate a European qualification spot, while Fiorentina will aim to close the gap and secure a better final league ranking. The home crowd at Artemio Franchi could provide Fiorentina with additional impetus to perform strongly.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bologna: 165, Fiorentina: 170, Draw: 230 Fiorentina Win ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread Bologna: 0 -112, Fiorentina: 0 -108 Fiorentina -0 ★★★☆☆ 52%
Over/under Over 2.25: -102, Under 2.25: -118 Under 2.25 Goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Fiorentina 19%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Fiorentina at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Fiorentina's home advantage, superior historical record at home against Bologna, but current injury concerns and mixed recent form, the game is expected to be tightly contested. A narrow Fiorentina win or draw is likely, with a low-scoring game anticipated.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Juventus vs. Udinese Prediction Serie A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Juventus vs Udinese – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 18 May 2025
  • Time: 6:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Allianz Stadium

Game Overview

Juventus, one of the top-tier teams in Serie A, faces off against Udinese. Given Juventus's strong home record and Udinese's variable away performance, Juventus is favored to win. The match could see a low-scoring outcome based on previous encounters between these teams.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Juventus has a strong home record and generally performs well against Udinese. Udinese's form has been inconsistent, which could affect their performance in this match.
  • Juventus typically dominates head-to-head encounters, which could influence the outcome.
  • Injury reports are not detailed here, but current player fitness could impact team performance.
  • Fan support and the home environment at Allianz Stadium could boost Juventus's chances.
  • Both teams have reasons to win, but Juventus's desire to secure a strong finish in the league might be a significant motivator.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Juventus -275, Udinese 725, Draw 390 Juventus to win ★★★★☆ 71%
Spread Juventus -1.25 -118, Udinese 1.25 -102 Juventus to cover the spread ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 2.5 -110, Under 2.5 -110 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Juventus -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Juventus is likely to win, with a low-scoring match expected.

Predicted Score: 1-0 in favor of Juventus


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Cagliari vs. Venezia Prediction Serie A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Cagliari vs Venezia – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-18
  • Time: 6:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Unipol Domus, Cagliari, Italy

Game Overview

The Serie A match between Cagliari and Venezia on May 18, 2025, is a critical late-season fixture with both sides struggling near the relegation zone. Cagliari currently sits 14th on the table, while Venezia is closer to the drop in 17th place. This encounter at Unipol Domus is expected to be tightly contested as both teams seek crucial points to improve their survival chances in Serie A.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cagliari has had a mixed run of form with recent defeats to Udinese and Fiorentina, but they demonstrated capability offensively and defensively in home matches. Venezia's performance has been more inconsistent, with fewer wins and more draws and losses, showing struggles in both attack and defense. Both teams have low goal-scoring averages, reflecting a defensive style or lack of offensive potency.
  • The teams have faced each other only once this season with Cagliari holding a slight advantage. Historically, matches have been close, reflecting similar quality levels and tactical approaches, making a draw or narrow win likely outcomes.
  • No specific injury data is provided, but typical late-season fatigue and minor injuries could affect squad selections for both teams. Monitoring last-minute injury news will be important.
  • The home advantage at Unipol Domus favors Cagliari, which tends to perform better in front of their fans. Weather and pitch conditions are expected to be normal with no extreme factors influencing play.
  • Both teams are motivated to avoid relegation; Cagliari aims to secure mid-table safety, while Venezia fights to escape the drop zone. This means high intensity and urgency from the start, likely resulting in disciplined but aggressive gameplay.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cagliari: 1.55, Venezia: 2, Draw: 2.1 Cagliari win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Cagliari: -128, Venezia: 108, spread_line: 0 Cagliari to cover the spread (draw no bet) ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: -112, Under: -108, line: 2.25 Under 2.25 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cagliari 33%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 25%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Cagliari at 33% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given home advantage, slightly better form, and motivation, Cagliari is favored to narrowly win this match. However, a draw remains a significant possibility due to Venezia's resilience and the defensive nature of both sides.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Hellas Verona vs. Como Prediction Serie A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Hellas Verona vs Como – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-18
  • Time: 6:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi, Verona, Italy

Game Overview

The match between Hellas Verona and Como is scheduled for Serie A Matchday 37. Both teams are closely matched in terms of points, with each having 9 points from their respective matches. Hellas Verona ranks 15th currently, while Como is 10th. The match is anticipated to be tightly contested given their recent performances.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Hellas Verona has struggled with consistency, having more losses than wins. Como, while having more draws, has shown resilience in staying higher in the rankings. Both teams have had similar goal-scoring records, with key players contributing significantly to their respective teams' performances.
  • Insufficient data is available for their head-to-head recent matches, making it difficult to assess past performance trends.
  • There is no specific information about injuries affecting this match, but it is crucial to monitor team lineups closer to the match date.
  • The match is at Verona's home stadium, which could provide an advantage in terms of support and familiarity.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure points to improve their league standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Hellas Verona: 245, Como: 115, Draw: 240 Draw ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread Como: -0.25 -120, Hellas Verona: 25 100 Hellas Verona +0.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 2.25 -122, Under: 2.25 102 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Draw 53%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Draw at 53% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the current form and standings, a draw seems plausible due to the close match odds and the teams' similar performance levels.

Predicted Score: 1-1


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AS Roma vs. AC Milan Prediction Serie A in Soccer

Match Analysis: AS Roma vs AC Milan – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-18
  • Time: 6:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Stadio Olimpico (Roma)

Game Overview

AS Roma hosts AC Milan in a crucial Serie A match that could significantly impact both teams' standings in the league. Roma, currently in the hunt for a Champions League spot, will be motivated to secure a win at home, where they have not lost in the league in 2025. AC Milan, though behind in the Champions League race, must win and rely on other results to keep their hopes alive.

Key Factors to Consider

  • AS Roma has been consistent at home, while AC Milan's recent form has been mixed. Roma's ability to control the game at home will be crucial.
  • Recent head-to-head matches have shown mixed results, but Roma's home advantage could be decisive.
  • No significant injury updates are available for both teams, but this could impact the lineups.
  • The match schedule around Pope Francis' funeral has been adjusted, but this should not affect the matchday.
  • Both teams have significant motivation to win, but Roma's home advantage might give them an edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline AS Roma: 135, AC Milan: 195, Draw: 255 AS Roma win ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread AS Roma: -0.25 102, AC Milan: 25 -122 AS Roma to cover ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over: 2.75 -110, Under: 2.75 -110 Under 2.75 ★★★☆☆ 52%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline AS Roma 6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 -3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: AS Roma at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Roma's home record and AC Milan's inconsistent form, a home win is likely.

Predicted Score: Roma 2-1 AC Milan


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Inter Milan vs. Lazio Prediction Serie A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Inter Milan vs Lazio – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-18
  • Time: 6:45 PM UTC
  • Location: San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, Milan, Italy

Game Overview

This Serie A match between Inter Milan and Lazio is crucial for the Scudetto race, with Inter currently 2nd and Lazio 5th in the league. Inter is aiming to close the gap to leaders Napoli with just two rounds left, while Lazio fights to secure European qualification. Inter will field a strong lineup with several key players returning, though Lautaro Martinez remains sidelined due to fitness concerns. Lazio will challenge on the road, but Inter’s home advantage and urgent motivation create a tense and competitive atmosphere.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Inter Milan has shown resilience recently, narrowing the top-of-the-table gap to just one point behind Napoli after a draw against Genoa. Lazio holds 5th place, maintaining a solid position but needing points to strengthen their European hold. Inter has been rotating players due to Champions League commitments but plans fewer rotations for this match to maximize strength. Lazio has been consistent but may struggle against Inter’s returning key players at home.
  • In the current season, Inter and Lazio have met once, with Inter holding a higher league position and home advantage. Historically, matches at San Siro tend to favor Inter, but Lazio has challenged strongly in past encounters, making the duel tactically tight and competitive.
  • Inter will be missing Lautaro Martinez due to ongoing fitness recovery after a muscle issue, thus he is not expected to start. However, key players such as Marcus Thuram, Nicolò Barella, Federico Dimarco, and Hakan Calhanoglu are returning to the starting lineup. Lazio has no significant injury updates disclosed in the available data, suggesting a near-full squad.
  • Inter is balancing the pressure of a tight Serie A title race with upcoming Champions League final preparations, likely influencing rotation decisions and player conditioning. The match is held at San Siro, giving Inter a strong home-field edge. Weather and other external conditions were not specified but are assumed normal.
  • Inter is highly motivated to reduce the gap to Napoli and keep title hopes alive. Lazio aims to secure its standing for European competition and upset a top contender. The stakes heighten the competitive spirit for both teams, with Inter slightly more driven given the Scudetto implications.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Inter Milan: -160, Lazio: 400, Draw: 320 Inter Milan win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Inter Milan -0.75: -125, Lazio +75: 105 Inter Milan -0.75 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.75: -105, Under 2.75: -115 Over 2.75 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Inter Milan -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Inter Milan to win narrowly, leveraging home advantage and returning key players despite Lautaro Martinez's absence. Expect a high-intensity match with Inter controlling possession and Lazio aiming to counterattack.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Lecce vs. Torino Prediction Serie A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Lecce vs Torino – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-18
  • Time: 6:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Stadio Comunale Via del Mare

Game Overview

Lecce and Torino face off in a key Serie A match, with Lecce struggling in recent form and Torino showing mixed results. Their head-to-head record favors Torino, who have won more matches historically. Lecce need to improve their performance at home to secure a win.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Lecce have not won any of their last five Serie A matches, while Torino have mixed results but have been successful away from home. Lecce won three home games at Stadio Comunale Via del Mare.
  • Lecce have won three times in their past 13 meetings with Torino, with Torino winning seven and three draws. Torino has a slight edge in their historical encounters.
  • No specific injury information is available for this match.
  • The match is scheduled for a late afternoon kickoff, which may not affect the teams significantly. However, crowd support could favor Lecce.
  • Both teams are motivated, with Lecce seeking to improve their home record and Torino aiming to maintain their mixed form.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Lecce -120, Torino 360, Draw 250 Lecce ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread Lecce -0.5 -118, Torino 50 -102 Lecce ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 2.25 100, Under 2.25 -120 Under ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Lecce -18%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the historical data and recent performance, Torino may have an edge but Lecce's home advantage could be crucial. The likely outcome appears to be a close match with a slight lean towards Lecce due to their home ground advantage.

Predicted Score: Lecce 1, Torino 1


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Parma vs. Napoli Prediction Serie A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Parma vs Napoli – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-18
  • Time: 6:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Stadio Ennio Tardini

Game Overview

Parma hosts Napoli in a Serie A match, with Napoli being the clear favorite due to their strong form and recent performances. Parma's mixed form this season might put them at a disadvantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Napoli is in good form, having won 10 away games, while Parma has a mixed form with five home wins.
  • Napoli dominates the head-to-head with 15 wins out of 25 matches against Parma, who have won 8 times.
  • No specific injury reports are available for this match.
  • Napoli's away form and Parma's relatively weaker performance at home could influence the outcome.
  • Napoli may be highly motivated to secure points in the Serie A table, while Parma might fight to avoid relegation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Napoli: -195, Parma: 500, Draw: 330 Napoli win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Napoli: -1 -115, Parma: 1 -105 Napoli to cover the spread ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5: -110, Under 2.5: -110 Over 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Napoli 21%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Napoli at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 41% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Napoli is likely to win this match, given their recent form and head-to-head advantage.

Predicted Score: 2-1 in favor of Napoli


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