Match Analysis: Genoa vs Atalanta BC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-17
- Time: 6:45 PM UTC
- Location: Stadio Luigi Ferraris
Game Overview
Genoa hosts Atalanta in a Serie A match. Genoa has struggled in recent encounters, winning only 8 out of 34 matches against Atalanta. Atalanta is in good form, having won 15 of these matches. The average goals scored in their direct matches is 2.76 per game.
Key Factors to Consider
- Atalanta is performing better, with an average of 1.96 goals per match. Genoa averages 1.37 goals per match. Atalanta's away performance is strong, with 12 wins in their last away matches.
- Atalanta leads with 15 wins, Genoa has 8 wins, and 11 draws. Recent matches have seen Atalanta dominate, including a 5-1 win in their last encounter.
- No specific injury reports are available for this match.
- Atalanta's superior form and recent results give them an edge. However, Genoa's home advantage might influence the outcome.
- Atalanta will be highly motivated to win, maintaining their strong position in Serie A. Genoa, fighting to avoid relegation, also has strong motivation to secure points.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Atalanta: -150, Genoa: 400, Draw: 300 | Atalanta to win | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Spread | Atalanta: -0.75 -118, Genoa: 75 -102 | Atalanta to cover | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Over/under | Over 2.5: -118, Under 2.5: -102 | Over 2.5 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Atalanta BC 200% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.5 2% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Atalanta BC at 200% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 50% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Atalanta is likely to win due to their superior form and recent results against Genoa.
Predicted Score: Genoa 1, Atalanta 2