Match Analysis: Fulham vs Manchester City – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-25
- Time: 3:00 PM UTC
- Location: Craven Cottage, London, England
Game Overview
Fulham will host Manchester City at Craven Cottage in the final stages of the 2024-25 English Premier League season. Fulham sits mid-table with 48 points from 13 wins, 9 draws, and 10 losses. Manchester City, having recently secured Champions League qualification, seek to maintain their dominant record over Fulham, having won their last 17 meetings across all competitions. The match follows closely after City's rebound win against Bournemouth, bouncing back from an FA Cup final defeat.
Key Factors to Consider
- Fulham have lost their last two Premier League home games despite opening the scoring in both. Manchester City has shown strong form in their last meetings, winning 17 consecutive matches against Fulham historically. City's away form this season has been inconsistent but remains strong overall, with motivation to secure Champions League football.
- Manchester City has a historic dominance over Fulham, winning their last 17 meetings in all competitions, the longest such streak in English league history. Recent EPL fixtures also see City's clear advantage with wins of 4-0 and 3-2 in their last encounters.
- No specific injury data was provided for either team close to the match date; however, no notable absences reported that could drastically affect Manchester City's key midfield and attacking options.
- The match is played at Fulham's Craven Cottage, which gives the home side some advantage. Weather or other external conditions were not mentioned as impacting factors. Manchester City's motivation to confirm Champions League qualification post-FA Cup final loss adds psychological impetus.
- Manchester City aims to confirm their UEFA Champions League spot and maintain their winning streak against Fulham. Fulham, having shown resilience scoring first in recent home defeats, will seek to upset City's dominance and end their losing streak at home.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Fulham: 400, Manchester City: -174, Draw: 330 | Manchester City | ★★★★☆ 75% |
Spread | Fulham +50: 132, Manchester City -0.5: -177 | Manchester City -0.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Over/under | Over 3.5: 126, Under 3.5: -168 | Over 3.5 goals | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Manchester City -6% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 3.5 24% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Manchester City is favored to win, continuing their dominant run over Fulham with an anticipated high-scoring game given City's attacking prowess and Fulham's recent struggles at home.
Predicted Score: 1-3