Match Analysis: Fulham vs Brentford – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-20
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Craven Cottage
Game Overview
The Premier League match between Fulham and Brentford at Craven Cottage is set for September 20, 2025, with both teams sitting mid-table and eager to improve their standing. Fulham (11th place) have shown slightly better recent form with a narrow 1-0 win against Leeds, while Brentford (12th) look to rebound after a recent penalty shootout win in the FA Cup. Both sides have a fairly even historical record, but Fulham have had recent success against Brentford in the Premier League.
Key Factors to Consider
- Fulham have won three consecutive league games against Brentford previously and are currently unbeaten in their last 10 London derbies before two recent losses. Brentford are winless in their last three away Premier League matches, with recent draws and losses marking inconsistent form.
- Historically, Fulham and Brentford are evenly matched with 25 wins each in 68 games. Fulham completed a Premier League double over Brentford last season and will aim to win three consecutive league games against them for the first time since 1929. Brentford have lost two of their last three away matches against Fulham.
- No specific injury reports are mentioned in the sources for either team ahead of the match.
- The match is at Fulhamβs home ground, Craven Cottage, which historically benefits them. Brentford recently advanced in the FA Cup via penalties, possibly affecting fitness but boosting morale.
- Fulham seek to capitalize on home advantage and recent successes against Brentford. Brentford aim to break their away drought and improve league position following mixed performances and the psychological lift from their recent cup success.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Fulham: 100, Brentford: 260, Draw: 242 | Fulham win | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | Fulham: -0.5 -103, Brentford: 50 -129 | Fulham -0.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5: -112, Under 2.5: -118 | Under 2.5 goals | β β β ββ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Fulham 10% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 2% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Fulham at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Fulham are favoured to win given their home advantage, historical dominance in recent meetings, and slightly better form. The match is expected to be competitive with a likely narrow margin of victory.
Predicted Score: 1-0 Fulham