Match Analysis: Fortaleza vs Santos – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-06-12
- Time: 10:30 PM UTC
- Location: Estádio Castelão, Fortaleza, Brazil
Game Overview
Fortaleza, currently struggling and winless in 9 of their last 10 matches, hosts Santos, who have only managed 1 win in their last 7. Both teams are near the bottom of the table, with Fortaleza ranked 17th and Santos 18th. This is a critical match for both sides to avoid further slipping down the standings, especially at home for Fortaleza[2][5].
Key Factors to Consider
- Fortaleza: Poor form, winless in 9 of last 10; Santos: Only 1 win in 7. Neither team is in good form, but Fortaleza at home may have a slight edge if they can capitalize on their crowd support.
- Recent head-to-head results are not significantly favoring either team; past encounters have often been close, with both sides capable of drawing or a narrow win.
- No major injury news is currently available. Any late absences could impact either team, but as of now, both sides expect to field their strongest available lineups.
- The match is played at Estádio Castelão, where Fortaleza should have home advantage. No significant weather issues expected.
- High motivation for both teams to avoid a loss and improve their league standing, but Fortaleza's home support could be a deciding factor.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Fortaleza: 110, Draw: 225, Santos: 280 | Fortaleza (slight edge) | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Spread | Fortaleza: -0.25 -125, Santos: 25 105 | Santos +0.25 (handicap, as Fortaleza’s edge is slight) | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Over/under | Over: 2, Under: 2 | Under 2 goals | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Fortaleza -8% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2 16% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given both teams' poor form, this match is likely to be tight and could end in a low-scoring draw or a narrow home win. Fortaleza's home advantage gives them a small edge, but neither team is confidently in form[2][5].
Predicted Score: 1-1