Match Analysis: Fortaleza vs Botafogo – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-09
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Estádio Governador Plácido Castelo, Fortaleza, Brazil
Game Overview
Fortaleza faces Botafogo in a Brasileirão match at Fortaleza's home ground. Botafogo is currently mid-table in 7th, showing stronger form and historical superiority, while Fortaleza struggles near relegation at 18th.
Key Factors to Consider
- Botafogo has won 4 and drawn 1 in their last 5 matches, scoring an average 1.6 goals and conceding 0.6 per game. Fortaleza's recent form is weaker with 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss, scoring and conceding roughly 1.2 goals per match each.
- In their last 10 matches, Botafogo leads with 5 wins to Fortaleza's 2, and 3 draws. Botafogo averages 1.5 goals per H2H game, Fortaleza 0.8. Historically Botafogo has dominated the matchup.
- No critical injury information is available, indicating near full squads for both sides.
- Match is played at Fortaleza's home stadium, which could provide moderate home advantage despite their poor league standing.
- Fortaleza is likely motivated by relegation-threatened status to secure points, while Botafogo aims to consolidate a top-half position and possibly challenge for higher spots.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Botafogo: 1.8, Fortaleza: 1.75, Draw: 2.05 | Botafogo | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Spread | Botafogo 0: -110, Fortaleza 0: -110 | Fortaleza 0 (Draw No Bet) | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Over/under | Over 2.25: 1.02, Under 2.25: 1.22 | Under 2.25 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Botafogo 40% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.25 9% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Botafogo at 40% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Botafogo moneyline win, Fortaleza +0 spread, Under 2.25 goals
Predicted Score: 0-1