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Fluminense vs. Palmeiras Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Fluminense vs Palmeiras – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-23
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Game Overview

Top-tier Brazilian Serie A showdown between Fluminense and Palmeiras, two of the league's historic clubs. Both teams are competitive this season, with Palmeiras showing slightly better recent form and higher expected win probability according to available data. The match is expected to be tightly contested, with a modest scoring record in recent head-to-heads.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Palmeiras has a higher win rate over their last 10 matches (40.4% probability to win this match, with 2.6 goals scored on average per game, 0.9 conceded), while Fluminense is less consistent (40% win probability, 2.2 goals scored per game, 1.5 conceded). Palmeiras also boasts a stronger away record[2]. Fluminense’s home advantage is partially offset by their defensive lapses.
  • In the last 10 meetings, Palmeiras edges Fluminense with 6 wins to Fluminense's 4, and 2 draws. Both teams have scored in 30% of these games, pointing to a tendency for lower-scoring, closely fought encounters[2].
  • No major injury updates found in available data. Assume both teams are at full strength unless late news breaks.
  • No major external disruptions reported. Maracanã typically offers a neutral pitch. Weather conditions are expected to be mild.
  • Both teams are competing for top positions in Serie A. Expect high motivation, but Palmeiras, as title contenders, may have a slight edge in urgency based on league aspirations.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Fluminense 175, Palmeiras 170, Draw 220 PALMEIRAS TO WIN ★★☆☆☆ 47%
Spread Fluminense 0 -108, Palmeiras 0 -112 PALMEIRAS 0 ★★☆☆☆ 49%
Over/under Over 2 -118, Under 2 -102 UNDER 2 GOALS ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Palmeiras 8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 23%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Based on form, head-to-head, and league standings, Palmeiras is the more balanced side and holds marginal statistical and motivational advantages, despite Fluminense's home field. Expect a low-scoring, tight affair with Palmeiras more likely to edge the contest.

Predicted Score: Fluminense 0–1 Palmeiras


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Fluminense vs. Palmeiras Prediction

Match Analysis: Fluminense vs Palmeiras – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-07-23 Time: 10:00 PM UTC Location: Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil Game Overview Top-tier Brazilian Serie A showdown between Fluminense and Palmeiras, two of the league's historic clubs. Both teams are competitive this season, with Palmeiras showing slightly better recent form and higher expected win […]

Fluminense July 23, 2025 Palmeiras Soccer

MORE FROM BRAZIL-SERIE-A

Juventude vs. Sao Paulo Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Juventude vs Sao Paulo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-24
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Alfredo Jaconi, Caxias do Sul, Brazil

Game Overview

Juventude hosts São Paulo in a Brasileirão Série A match where both teams are struggling with recent form and low scoring. Juventude sits in the relegation zone with poor home and overall form, while São Paulo is slightly higher in the table but has also experienced inconsistent results.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Juventude has won only 1 of their last 5 matches and averages 0.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. São Paulo similarly has only 1 win in their last 5 games, scoring 1.4 goals and conceding 1.8 on average.
  • São Paulo holds a historical advantage over Juventude, having won more meetings in recent games. However, Juventude will try to leverage their unbeaten home record, which is under threat given recent form.
  • No specific injury reports available, but both teams appear to have their usual squads with no major absences reported.
  • Playing at home offers Juventude some advantage, but their low capacity stadium (about 20,000 seats) minimizes external impact. Both teams face pressure due to their position near relegation.
  • Juventude is highly motivated to avoid relegation with 11 points after 13 matches, while São Paulo aims to consolidate and move upward in the table after ending a losing streak recently.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Juventude: 251, São Paulo: 125, Draw: 212 São Paulo ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Juventude +25: -108, São Paulo -0.25: -112 São Paulo -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2: -102, Under 2: -118 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sao Paulo 76%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Sao Paulo at 76% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

São Paulo to win the match narrowly with under 2 goals scored overall.

Predicted Score: 0-1


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Bragantino-SP vs. Flamengo Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Bragantino-SP vs Flamengo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-24
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Cicero de Souza Marques, Bragança Paulista, Brazil

Game Overview

This match features 3rd-ranked Red Bull Bragantino hosting 1st-ranked Flamengo in a high-stakes Campeonato Brasileiro Série A clash, with Flamengo slight favourites but Bragantino's strong recent form and home advantage making this encounter highly competitive.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bragantino currently sits 3rd in the league with a strong recent run including 4 wins in their last 5 matches, solid defensive form having conceded only one goal in their last three. Flamengo holds 1st place, showing high quality and consistency overall but with odds indicating a tight matchup.
  • Recent H2H matches between these two have been competitive; Flamengo slightly edges previous encounters but Bragantino is no pushover especially at home.
  • No critical injury information available from search data, suggesting key players from both sides are likely fit.
  • Bragantino enjoys home advantage at Estádio Cicero de Souza Marques; no major external disruptions reported. The match timing and venue favour the home side slightly.
  • Flamengo as league leaders are motivated to maintain their top spot, while Bragantino, in 3rd with strong recent form, are motivated to close the gap and assert themselves as title contenders.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bragantino-SP: 2.6, Flamengo: 1.1, Draw: 2.35 Flamengo ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Bragantino-SP +25: 1.02, Flamengo -0.25: 1.22 Flamengo -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 63%
Over/under Over 2.25: 1.02, Under 2.25: 1.22 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Flamengo 16%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 0%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Flamengo at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Flamengo's strong overall team quality and league position but Bragantino's excellent home form and recent defensive solidity, the best EV bet is Flamengo to win with a slim margin (spread -0.25). The game is expected to be competitive but Flamengo's edge should prevail.

Predicted Score: 1-2


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Santos vs. Internacional Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Santos vs Internacional – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-24
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Santos's home stadium

Game Overview

Santos hosts Internacional in a Brazil Campeonato match. Santos has a strong recent home form, while Internacional struggles with away performances.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Santos has been impressive at home, winning 14 of their last 18 top-flight matches. Internacional has struggled away, winning only once in their last 18 away games.
  • Recent head-to-head data is not explicitly provided, but Santos's home record suggests a favorable position.
  • There are no detailed reports on significant injuries for either team.
  • No extraordinary external factors are noted.
  • Santos is motivated by their strong home form, while Internacional seeks to improve their away record.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Santos: 140, Internacional: 210, Draw: 215 Santos Win ★★★☆☆ 64%
Spread Santos: -0.25 105, Internacional: 25 -125 Santos -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over: 2 -120, Under: 2 100 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Santos 44%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Santos at 44% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 31.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Santos is likely to win due to their strong home form and Internacional's poor away performance.

Predicted Score: 2-0 in favor of Santos


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Vitoria vs. Sport Recife Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Vitoria vs Sport Recife – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: July 24, 2025
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Manoel Barradas, Salvador, Brazil

Game Overview

Vitoria and Sport Recife face off in a Serie A Brazil match, with Vitoria slightly favored. Recent form and head-to-head statistics suggest a close contest.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Vitoria has shown more stable recent form compared to Sport Recife, but both teams have been tight in their last matches.
  • Historical matchups suggest competitive games, often with low scores.
  • No significant injury updates are available that would drastically affect the match.
  • The match is late in the season, and both teams might be motivated to secure points for different reasons.
  • Vitoria may be more motivated as they are playing at home and have a slight edge in recent performances.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Vitoria: 105, Sport Recife: 300, Draw: 220 Vitoria Win ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Vitoria: -0.5 105, Sport Recife: 50 -125 Vitoria -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2: -112, Under 2: -108 Under 2.5 ★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Vitoria 13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 0%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Vitoria at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given recent form and the competitive nature of their matchups, Vitoria is likely to win, but with a possible draw. The match is expected to be low-scoring.

Predicted Score: 1-0 to Vitoria


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Corinthians vs. Cruzeiro Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Corinthians vs Cruzeiro – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-23
  • Time: 10:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Neo Química Arena, São Paulo, Brazil

Game Overview

Corinthians host Cruzeiro in a closely contested Brazilian Campeonato match. Both teams have similar odds, reflecting their evenly matched head-to-head history and current form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Corinthians and Cruzeiro have been performing competitively in recent matches. Corinthians are currently ranked 10th, while Cruzeiro leads the league, but recent form suggests a intense encounter.
  • Historically, both teams have won nearly the same number of matches against each other, with Corinthians edging out slightly in direct matches.
  • Injury reports are not detailed in available data, but both teams should be at near full strength.
  • The match is at Corinthians' home stadium, which could provide an advantage. However, Cruzeiro's strong league position indicates they are well-prepared for away games.
  • Cruzeiro's motivation is high to maintain their lead in the league, while Corinthians seek to climb the rankings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Corinthians: 175, Cruzeiro: 175, Draw: 205 Draw ★☆☆☆☆ 28%
Spread Corinthians: 0 -110, Cruzeiro: 0 -110 Cruzeiro ★★★☆☆ 52%
Over/under Over: 2 -105, Under: 2 -115 Over ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Corinthians 37%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Corinthians at 37% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the tight odds and historical data, the best value lies in the draw and over markets. However, the draw is less likely due to the strong form of both teams, making the over market more appealing.

Predicted Score: 2-2


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Ceará vs. Mirassol Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Ceará vs Mirassol – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-23
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Ceará home stadium

Game Overview

This Brazil Campeonato match features Ceará hosting Mirassol, two clubs with a competitive recent history and an average of 3 goals per H2H match. Both teams have been involved in relatively high-scoring games, with Mirassol slightly stronger on away form and Ceará having home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ceará scores on average 1.41 goals per game with a home tendency towards under 2.5 goals in most matches. Mirassol averages 1.62 goals per game and tends towards higher scoring especially away.
  • In 4 recent encounters, Mirassol leads with 2 wins, Ceará has 1 win, and 1 draw, with both teams combining for roughly 3 goals per game on average.
  • No significant injury reports affecting key players for either side currently available.
  • Standard conditions with no major disruptions noted, and balanced possession statistics in recent matchups.
  • Both teams are motivated for a strong showing; Mirassol sitting 3rd and Ceará 5th implies they are competing closely for table positioning, increasing competitiveness.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ceará: 1.15, Mirassol: 2.65, Draw: 2.25 Ceará ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Ceará -0.25: -120, Mirassol +25: 100 Ceará -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2: -120, Under 2: 100 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ceará 29%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 20%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Ceará at 29% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline favoring Ceará to win with slight spread advantage; expect a competitive, moderate goal total game under 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Flamengo vs. Fluminense Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Flamengo vs Fluminense – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-20
  • Time: 10:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Maracanã Stadium

Game Overview

The match between Flamengo and Fluminense is a significant Brazilian Campeonato encounter, with both teams having a rich history of rivalry. Flamengo has generally performed better in recent head-to-head matches.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Flamengo has shown strong form in recent matches, while Fluminense's performance has been inconsistent.
  • In their last 91 games, Flamengo won 39, Fluminense won 25, and 27 ended in a draw. Flamengo has a slight edge historically.
  • There are no reported significant injuries affecting either team.
  • The match is played at the Maracanã Stadium, which can favor Flamengo due to their stronger home support.
  • Both teams are motivated, but Flamengo's recent successes might give them an edge in confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -135, 420, 250 Flamengo ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread -0.75 100, 75 -120 Flamengo -0.75 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2 -115, Under 2 -105 Over 2 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Flamengo 4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Flamengo at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Flamengo to win

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Sport Recife vs. Botafogo Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Sport Recife vs Botafogo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-20
  • Time: 8:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Sport Recife Home Stadium

Game Overview

This match features Sport Recife hosting Botafogo in the Brazil Campeonato, a crucial contest with Botafogo currently favored by bookmakers. Both teams have moderate goal averages historically, but Botafogo holds an edge in recent form and head-to-head records.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Botafogo has shown stronger recent form at both home and away matches with a slightly better defensive record, conceding fewer goals per game. Sport Recife has won some matches but with lower scoring output and higher goals conceded recently.
  • Over 14 meetings, Botafogo leads with 7 wins compared to Sport Recife's 3, with 4 draws. Botafogo also averages 1.4 goals per match historically against Sport Recife's 0.9, indicating superior attacking output in these matchups[1].
  • No major injury data found; assume key players are available or no significant absences affecting either side.
  • No significant external factors such as weather or travel disruptions reported that would notably affect the match outcome.
  • Botafogo is motivated to maintain league standing and capitalize on recent positive momentum, while Sport Recife looks to leverage home advantage to improve their position.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Botafogo 120, Sport Recife 250, Draw 220 Botafogo ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Botafogo -0.25 -112, Sport Recife +25 -108 Botafogo -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2 -125, Under 2 105 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Botafogo 21%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 23%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Botafogo moneyline win

Predicted Score: Botafogo 1 – 0 Sport Recife


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Palmeiras vs. Atletico Mineiro Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Palmeiras vs Atletico Mineiro – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-20
  • Time: 8:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Palmeiras Home Stadium

Game Overview

The upcoming match between Palmeiras and Atletico Mineiro is a highly competitive Brasileirão clash featuring two top-level Brazilian teams with a closely contested head-to-head history. Palmeiras enter as the home favorite due to strong recent form and home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Palmeiras currently sit 2nd in the league with a strong recent run including multiple consecutive wins at home. Atletico Mineiro is positioned 9th with mixed results and variable away form.
  • Historically close, with Atletico Mineiro having a slight edge in wins (16 to 15) over the last 48 meetings, and 17 draws. Average goals per match is about 2.4, reflecting a balanced, competitive fixture.
  • No significant injury concerns reported for either team that would markedly affect starting lineups or tactics.
  • The game is hosted at Palmeiras’ home ground, amplifying their motivation and tactical confidence given a 71% home win rate this season.
  • Palmeiras are motivated by their pursuit of the title race and maintaining high league standing, whereas Atletico Mineiro aims to climb from mid-table, which may limit their attacking risk.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Palmeiras -140, Draw 260, Atletico Mineiro 420 Palmeiras ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Palmeiras -0.75 (-105), Atletico Mineiro +75 (-115) Palmeiras -0.75 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2 (-125), Under 2 (+105) Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Palmeiras 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 23%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Palmeiras Moneyline win

Predicted Score: 2-0


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