Match Analysis: Fluminense vs Atletico Mineiro – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-04
- Time: 9:30 PM UTC
- Location: Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho (Maracanã)
Game Overview
Fluminense hosts Atletico Mineiro in a mid-table Brasileirão clash where Fluminense have the slight edge in form and home advantage, but Atletico Mineiro possess historical H2H strength and resilience.
Key Factors to Consider
- Fluminense is currently 7th with 35 points from 24 matches, showing moderate form with 10 wins and 5 draws; Atletico Mineiro is 14th with 29 points, less consistent with 7 wins but 8 draws.
- Historically Atletico Mineiro leads H2H with 19 wins to Fluminense's 12 in 45 matches, but recent encounters are closer; Fluminense won last season's home match and the recent matchup ended 2-2.
- No major absentee information available; squads expected mostly full strength.
- Match played at Maracanã offers Fluminense solid home support; both teams have comparable travel and environmental conditions.
- Fluminense motivated to push for top 6 placement, Atletico Mineiro aiming to avoid relegation zone troubles and improve standing.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Fluminense -101, Draw +215, Atletico Mineiro +333 | Fluminense | ★★★★☆ 74% |
Spread | Fluminense -0.5 -101, Atletico Mineiro +50 -119 | Fluminense -0.5 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Over/under | Over 2 -109, Under 2 -111 | Under 2 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Fluminense 11% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2 25% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Fluminense moneyline win
Predicted Score: 1-0