Match Analysis: Flamengo vs Mirassol – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-09
- Time: 9:30 PM UTC
- Location: Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
Game Overview
The match features top-ranked Flamengo hosting 5th placed Mirassol in the Brasileirão. Flamengo are dominant favorites with strong offensive and possession metrics, while Mirassol have shown resilience but weaker overall statistics.
Key Factors to Consider
- Flamengo leads the league with a record of 10W-3D-2L, scoring 29 goals and conceding 6, demonstrating very strong offensive and defensive capabilities. Mirassol stands 5th with 6W-7D-2L, scoring 24 and conceding 14, indicating a competent but less dominant side.
- No recent recorded head-to-head matches between Flamengo and Mirassol, suggesting no direct historical advantage for either side.
- No significant injury reports affecting key Flamengo players; Mirassol's injury status is stable with no major absences impacting starting XI.
- Match played at Flamengo's home ground, Estádio do Maracanã, providing significant home advantage with expected strong local support.
- Flamengo motivated to maintain top league position and extend unbeaten streak; Mirassol motivated to close gap to top and upset a superior opponent.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Flamengo -305, Mirassol 850, Draw 420 | Flamengo | ★★★★☆ 78% |
Spread | Flamengo -1.5 100, Mirassol +1.5 -120 | Flamengo -1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Over/under | Over 2.5 -110, Under 2.5 -110 | Over 2.5 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Flamengo -7% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.5 15% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Flamengo to win outright, cover the spread (-1.5), and match to go over 2.5 goals
Predicted Score: 3-1