Match Analysis: Flamengo vs Bragantino-SP – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-22
- Time: 12:30 AM UTC
- Location: Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro
Game Overview
Flamengo hosts Bragantino-SP in a pivotal Brasileirão Série A clash at the Maracanã. Flamengo, currently leading the league, faces a Bragantino side in strong form, making this a high-stakes encounter with title implications.
Key Factors to Consider
- Flamengo remains at the top of the table with 71 points after 34 matches, boasting a strong attack and solid defense. Bragantino has been in excellent form, with their key midfielder contributing 11 goals and 10 assists this season, making them a dangerous opponent.
- Recent head-to-head results show Flamengo with a slight edge, but Bragantino has been competitive in recent meetings, often making the games tight.
- Flamengo will be without key midfielders Erick Pulgar and Saúl due to suspension, while De La Cruz, Allan, and Pedro remain out due to injuries. Arrascaeta is expected to return, providing a boost to the midfield.
- The match is played at the Maracanã, giving Flamengo a significant home advantage. The weather is expected to be clear, with no major disruptions anticipated.
- Flamengo is fighting to maintain their lead in the title race, while Bragantino is aiming to secure a top-four finish and potentially challenge for the title themselves.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Bragantino-SP: 800, Flamengo: -330, Draw: 435 | Flamengo | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Spread | Bragantino-SP: 1.5 -112, Flamengo: -1.5 -108 | Flamengo -1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Over/under | Over: 2.75 -108, Under: 2.75 -112 | Over 2.75 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Flamengo -9% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2.75 6% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Flamengo is favored to win, but Bragantino's strong form and Flamengo's missing midfielders make this a challenging match. Expect a close game with Flamengo edging it due to home advantage and depth.
Predicted Score: Flamengo 2-1 Bragantino-SP