Match Analysis: Fiorentina vs Bologna – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: October 26, 2025
- Time: 5:00 PM UTC
- Location: Stadio Artemio Franchi
Game Overview
This matchup between Fiorentina and Bologna is expected to be competitive, with both teams having shown varying form recently. Fiorentina tends to score and concede at home, while Bologna often struggles to score away. Historically, Fiorentina has a slight edge over Bologna, particularly at home.
Key Factors to Consider
- Fiorentina has a mild home advantage, having won 40% of their recent games at home, while Bologna has struggled more on the road.
- Fiorentina has historically dominated Bologna at home, winning 13 of their last 23 meetings.
- Notable absences include Nicolo Zaniolo and others, which could impact Fiorentina's performance.
- No major external factors are reported to affect the match.
- Both teams are motivated to win for league points, but Fiorentina's home advantage might give them an edge.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Fiorentina: 171, Bologna: 173, Draw: 215 | Fiorentina | β β β ββ 60% |
| Spread | Fiorentina: 0 -112, Bologna: 0 -108 | Fiorentina to win by any margin | β β β ββ 58% |
| Over/under | Over 2.25: -102, Under 2.25: -118 | Over 2.25 | β β β ββ 66% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Fiorentina 63% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2.25 39% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Fiorentina at 63% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 36.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Fiorentina to win.
Predicted Score: Fiorentina 2 – 1 Bologna