Match Analysis: Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-17
- Time: 6:00 PM UTC
- Location: De Kuip, Rotterdam, Netherlands
Game Overview
Feyenoord will host Fortuna Sittard in an Eredivisie fixture at De Kuip stadium. Feyenoord currently shows strong form with 11 goals scored in their last 5 matches and the best defensive record with 3 clean sheets, whereas Fortuna Sittard has scored 10 goals in their last 5 games but has not kept a clean sheet in that period. Historically, Feyenoord dominates this matchup, being unbeaten in the last 12 meetings versus Fortuna Sittard (9 wins, 3 draws).
Key Factors to Consider
- Feyenoord leads with a robust defense and attacking efficiency, highlighted by top scorers like Ueda and Ihattaren and consistent clean sheets. Fortuna Sittard scores frequently but concedes heavily, reflecting a more open and less structured defensive style.
- Feyenoord has not lost to Fortuna Sittard in the last 12 encounters, accumulating 9 wins and 3 draws, demonstrating clear historical dominance.
- No specific injury reports are provided for either team at this time, suggesting both squads might be near full strength.
- Playing at home in the iconic De Kuip stadium offers Feyenoord a strong home advantage with robust fan support. No weather or significant external disruptions noted.
- Feyenoord is motivated to maintain their winning streak and defensive record, aiming to consolidate top league positioning. Fortuna Sittard will look to break their historical negative trend and exploit their attacking strengths.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Feyenoord: -345, Fortuna Sittard: 900, Draw: 470 | Feyenoord Win | β β β β β 85% |
| Spread | Feyenoord -1.5: -119, Fortuna Sittard +1.5: -101 | Feyenoord -1.5 | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over 3.25: -107, Under 3.25: -113 | Over 3.25 Goals | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Feyenoord -7% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 3.25 16% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 3.25 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Feyenoord is heavily favored to win, with a likely comfortable margin due to superior form, historical dominance, and home advantage. Fortuna Sittard may score but struggle defensively.
Predicted Score: 3-1