Match Analysis: Fenerbahce vs Ferencváros TC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-27
- Time: 5:45 PM UTC
- Location: Chobani Stadium, Istanbul, Türkiye
Game Overview
This UEFA Europa League League phase match features Fenerbahçe hosting Ferencváros TC at Chobani Stadium. Fenerbahçe enters as strong favorites, with home advantage and a dominant recent record in European competition. Ferencváros TC, while competitive, faces a tough challenge away from home.
Key Factors to Consider
- Fenerbahçe has consistently created high expected goals (xG) in recent Europa League matches, scoring in 13 of their last 16 games and generating 1.5+ xG in all of their last 16 Europa League outings. They are also prone to receiving cards, with 15 of their last 16 Europa League matches seeing 2+ cards. Ferencváros TC has shown resilience but struggles away, with 7 of their last 8 away Europa League games seeing 2+ cards against them.
- Recent head-to-head data is limited, but Fenerbahçe has a strong home record in European competition, while Ferencváros TC has struggled to secure wins away from home in similar fixtures.
- No major injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates.
- The match will be played at Chobani Stadium, a venue where Fenerbahçe has a strong home record. Weather conditions are expected to be favorable for play.
- Both teams are motivated to secure a positive result in the Europa League, with Fenerbahçe aiming to maintain their strong home form and Ferencváros TC looking to improve their away record in European competition.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Fenerbahce: -190, Ferencváros TC: 448, Draw: 350 | Fenerbahce | ★★★★☆ 85% |
| Spread | Fenerbahce: -1 -120, Ferencváros TC: 1 100 | Fenerbahce -1 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | Over: 2.75 -123, Under: 2.75 103 | Over | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Fenerbahce -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2.75 -0% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Fenerbahçe is expected to win this match, leveraging their home advantage and strong attacking performance. The match is likely to be competitive, with both teams receiving cards, but Fenerbahçe's ability to create and convert chances should give them the edge.
Predicted Score: Fenerbahçe 2-1 Ferencváros TC