Match Analysis: FC Zwolle vs Sparta Rotterdam – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 8:00 PM UTC
- Location: MAC³PARK stadion
Game Overview
PEC Zwolle hosts Sparta Rotterdam in a pivotal Eredivisie clash. Zwolle sits in the relegation zone, struggling for form and defensive stability, while Sparta Rotterdam is mid-table with more consistent results. Both teams have shown attacking intent but have also been vulnerable at the back, setting up a match with high goal-scoring potential.
Key Factors to Consider
- PEC Zwolle has won only 2 of their last 11 matches and has conceded 27 goals in 13 games, highlighting defensive frailty. Sparta Rotterdam has won 5 of their last 10 matches and has shown more consistency, but their away form is mixed. Both teams have scored in 60% of their recent matches.
- The last official meeting ended in a 1-1 draw. Historically, the H2H record is balanced with 8 home wins, 8 away wins, and 5 draws in 21 matches. The average total goals per match is 2.86, indicating a tendency for goals.
- No major injuries reported for either side. Both teams are expected to field their strongest available lineups.
- The match is played at MAC³PARK stadion, where Zwolle has struggled, winning only 20% of their last 5 home games. The weather is expected to be clear, with no adverse conditions affecting play.
- Zwolle is fighting to avoid relegation and will be highly motivated to secure points at home. Sparta Rotterdam is looking to consolidate their mid-table position and may be cautious against a desperate opponent.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: 153, away: 163, draw: 250 | Draw | ★★★★☆ 74% |
| Spread | home: -115, away: -105 | Sparta Rotterdam 0 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
| Over/under | over: -118, under: -102 | Over 2.75 | ★★★★☆ 72% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Sparta Rotterdam 44% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2.75 20% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Sparta Rotterdam at 44% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The match is likely to be competitive with both teams scoring. Sparta Rotterdam's superior form and consistency give them a slight edge, but Zwolle's desperation and home advantage could lead to a draw. The most likely outcome is a draw with both teams finding the net.
Predicted Score: 2-2
