Match Analysis: FC Zwolle vs Groningen – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-18
- Time: 12:30 PM UTC
- Location: Mac3Park Stadion, Zwolle, Netherlands
Game Overview
FC Zwolle and FC Groningen face off in the Eredivisie late-season clash. Both teams are close in the table with Groningen slightly ahead. Zwolle currently sits 14th with 32 points, scoring 25 goals and conceding 40, while Groningen holds 8th position overall. The match is expected to be competitive with both sides having a mix of offensive threats and defensive vulnerabilities.
Key Factors to Consider
- FC Zwolle has struggled defensively this season, conceding 40 goals, but they have shown some offensive capability with 25 goals. Groningen has a better defensive record with fewer goals conceded and slightly better form, holding 8th place. Top scorers include Dylan Vente for Zwolle with 12 goals and B. Andersen Willumsson for Groningen with 4 goals. Groningen has more clean sheets (8) compared to Zwolle (5), suggesting slightly more stability at the back.
- Historical data shows a balanced rivalry with previous matches closely contested. Recent head-to-head results do not strongly favor either team, making the game unpredictable. Both teams have exchanged wins in prior encounters, indicating a tight matchup.
- No specific injury updates were available from the data, suggesting both teams may have close to full squads available for the match.
- The game is played at Zwolle's home ground, Mac3Park Stadion, which could provide a slight edge for FC Zwolle. Weather and pitch conditions are not reported to be adverse. Motivation levels might be influenced by league standings and aspirations for a better finish.
- Both teams are motivated to improve their league position late in the season. Groningen’s slightly better standing may give them confidence, whereas Zwolle will push hard for home advantage to climb out of the lower end of the table.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | FC Zwolle: 131, Groningen: 172, Draw: 260 | FC Zwolle to win | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Spread | FC Zwolle -0.25: 102, Groningen +25: -122 | FC Zwolle -0.25 | ★★★☆☆ 53% |
Over/under | Over 2.75: -118, Under 2.75: -102 | Under 2.75 goals | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | FC Zwolle -3% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.75 19% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The match is expected to be closely fought with a slight edge to FC Groningen due to their better form, defense, and slightly higher league position. A narrow win or a draw seems most likely outcomes.
Predicted Score: 1-1