Match Analysis: FC Volendam vs Excelsior – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-20
- Time: 2:30 PM UTC
- Location: Kras Stadion, Volendam
Game Overview
FC Volendam hosts Excelsior in a low-table Eredivisie clash where both sides are struggling to find form early in the season. Volendam sits 12th with four points and Excelsior 16th with three points. The match is expected to be closely fought with both teams aiming for a pivotal result.
Key Factors to Consider
- Volendam has been more resilient with four draws and no wins, indicating defensive solidity but lack of finishing. Excelsior has struggled more with losses and fewer points (3), showing poorer current form.
- Recent meetings indicate competitive matches, with at least a draw being a common outcome. Past results suggest a slight edge to Volendam at home.
- No significant injury news reported for either team, so lineups are expected to be near full strength.
- Home advantage at Kras Stadion favors Volendam but the motivation for both teams to escape relegation battle is high.
- Both teams are motivated to turn their season around; Volendam more so given their stronger start and home support.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: +132, draw: +280, away: +172 | Home Win | β β β ββ 68% |
Spread | home: +105, away: -125 | FC Volendam -0.25 | β β β ββ 65% |
Over/under | over: -125, under: +105 | Under 3 Goals | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | FC Volendam 101% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 3 23% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: FC Volendam at 101% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 36.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
FC Volendam to win on the moneyline, covering the spread, with a tight over/under on goals expected.
Predicted Score: 1-0