Match Analysis: FC Volendam vs AZ Alkmaar – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-17
- Time: 2:45 PM UTC
- Location: Kras Stadion
Game Overview
AZ Alkmaar enters this Eredivisie match in strong form after a convincing 4-1 win in their opener, sitting 4th in the league, while FC Volendam is mid-table with a draw from their opening game. AZ Alkmaar is favored to dominate, but Volendam has shown capability to score, making for a potentially open game.
Key Factors to Consider
- AZ Alkmaar won convincingly 4-1 in their last game demonstrating strong offense, FC Volendam drew their opener and sit 10th with 1 point.
- Historically, AZ Alkmaar has been stronger in encounters, reflected in current odds heavily favoring the away side.
- No significant injury reports impacting key players for either team at this time.
- Match played at FC Volendam's home stadium, but no adverse weather or travel issues noted for AZ.
- AZ Alkmaar eager to consolidate top-four position early in the season; Volendam motivated to secure first win and maintain home form.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | AZ Alkmaar: -178, FC Volendam: 405, Draw: 345 | AZ Alkmaar | β β β β β 78% |
Spread | AZ Alkmaar -1: -110, FC Volendam +1: -110 | AZ Alkmaar -1 | β β β β β 70% |
Over/under | Over 3.25: -110, Under 3.25: -110 | Over 3.25 goals | β β β β β 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | AZ Alkmaar 2% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 3.25 30% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 3.25 at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
AZ Alkmaar to win on the moneyline, with expectation of Over 3.25 goals scored, and AZ Alkmaar covering -1 goal on the spread.
Predicted Score: 1-3