Match Analysis: FC Twente Enschede vs SC Telstar – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-07
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: De Grolsch Veste, Enschede, Netherlands
Game Overview
FC Twente, 9th in Eredivisie, hosts basement side SC Telstar in a match where Twente are heavy favorites, looking to capitalize on home advantage against a struggling Telstar team. Twente have a strong historical and recent record over Telstar, who are in poor form and fighting relegation.
Key Factors to Consider
- Twente is unbeaten in two matches (last draw at Groningen) and have 4 wins in their last 8, scoring at least 3 goals in 7 of those 8 games. Telstar drew last time out against Excelsior but have lost most recent league matches, conceding heavily and showing defensive vulnerability[4]. Twente's attacking fluency is high, while Telstar's defense is porousβonly one clean sheet in recent months[8].
- Twente have won all 3 previous meetings since 2018, including two 3-1 victories and a 1-0 win. The trend is clear: Twente dominate this fixture[4].
- Twente missing Sam Lammers, Mathias KjΓΈlΓΈ, and Max Brunsβkey attacking and midfield optionsβbut squad depth should cover most absences[4]. Telstar have no major reported injuries.
- De Grolsch Veste is a strong home fortress; crowd support will be firmly behind Twente. No major weather or scheduling issues expected.
- Twente are chasing European spots, only 5 points off 4th. Telstar are in a relegation dogfight, but their road form is poor. Motivation is high for both, but Twente's quality and home advantage should tell.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Twente -305, Telstar 650, Draw 460 | Twente Win | β β β β β 82% |
| Spread | Twente -1.5 -108, Telstar +1.5 -112 | Twente -1.5 | β β β β β 75% |
| Over/under | Over 3 -118, Under 3 -102 | Over 3 | β β β β β 78% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | FC Twente Enschede 440% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 3 20% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: FC Twente Enschede at 440% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 67.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Twente to win comfortably, with both teams scoring in a high-scoring affair.
Predicted Score: 3-1 Twente