Match Analysis: FC St. Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-23
- Time: 4:30 PM UTC
- Location: Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg, Germany
Game Overview
The match between FC St. Pauli and Borussia Dortmund marks the start of the Bundesliga season. St. Pauli, newly promoted, hosts title contenders Dortmund, setting up a potentially exciting encounter.
Key Factors to Consider
- Borussia Dortmund enjoyed a strong finish to the previous season, while St. Pauli seeks to establish itself in the top league.
- Historically, Dortmund has held the upper hand, but recent form isn't directly comparable given St. Pauli's promotion.
- Notable injuries include Dortmund's Niklas SΓΌle, who will miss the game due to a calf injury.
- The match is at St. Pauli's home, which could provide an energetic atmosphere but might not offset Dortmund's quality.
- Both teams are motivated to start the season positively, but Dortmund's experience and quality give them an edge.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Borussia Dortmund: -132, FC St. Pauli: 360, Draw: 280 | Borussia Dortmund | β β β β β 74% |
Spread | Borussia Dortmund: -0.75 -104, FC St. Pauli: 75 -116 | Borussia Dortmund -0.75 | β β β ββ 67% |
Over/under | Over: 2.75 100, Under: 2.75 -120 | Over 2.75 | β β β β β 72% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Borussia Dortmund 11% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.75 20% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Borussia Dortmund is likely to win, with a high probability of both teams scoring.
Predicted Score: 2-1 for Borussia Dortmund