Match Analysis: FC St. Pauli vs Augsburg – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-14
- Time: 1:30 PM UTC
- Location: Millerntor-Stadion
Game Overview
FC St. Pauli hosts FC Augsburg in a Bundesliga matchday 3 fixture at Millerntor-Stadion. St. Pauli sits 5th with 4 points, while Augsburg is 7th with 3 points. Both teams have shown promising starts with St. Pauli unbeaten and Augsburg having mixed results.
Key Factors to Consider
- St. Pauli has displayed a strong start including a 2-0 away win vs Hamburg and a 3-3 draw with Borussia Dortmund, showing good defense and attack. Augsburg has been inconsistent, narrowly losing to Bayern Munich at home but convincingly beating Freiburg away.
- Recent head-to-heads favor balanced competition but St. Pauli's home advantage and tactical discipline have often given them an edge.
- No major injury concerns reported for either team that would significantly impact starters or key players.
- Match played at Millerntor-Stadion offers home crowd support for St. Pauli. Weather and pitch conditions expected to be neutral.
- St. Pauli motivated to leverage home advantage and remain unbeaten, while Augsburg looks to stabilize their season with an away result.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | FC St. Pauli: 119, Draw: 230, Augsburg: 235 | FC St. Pauli | ★★★★☆ 72% |
Spread | FC St. Pauli -0.25: -115, Augsburg +25: -105 | FC St. Pauli -0.25 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Over/under | Over 2.25: -118, Under 2.25: -102 | Under 2.25 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | FC St. Pauli 27% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.25 15% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: FC St. Pauli at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
FC St. Pauli to win outright on the moneyline; FC St. Pauli -0.25 on the spread; Under 2.25 goals total.
Predicted Score: 2-1