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FC Porto vs. Moreirense FC Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: FC Porto vs Moreirense FC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-02
  • Time: 7:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio do Dragão, Porto, Portugal

Game Overview

FC Porto faces Moreirense in a Primeira Liga match where Porto holds a dominant historical advantage and superior league position. Porto sits 4th with 62 points, while Moreirense ranks 10th with 36 points.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Porto has shown strong form with 19 wins this season, while Moreirense struggles defensively, conceding 45 goals in 31 matches.
  • Porto has won 24 of the last 33 meetings, including 15 consecutive home wins. The most frequent results are 3-0 victories for Porto.
  • No specific injury data available in provided sources.
  • Porto's home advantage at Estádio do Dragão, where they have a perfect H2H record against Moreirense.
  • Porto is competing for European qualification, while Moreirense has limited stakes beyond mid-table positioning.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Porto -325 | Draw +370 | Moreirense +900 Porto win ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Porto -1.5 (+100) | Moreirense +1.5 (-120) Porto covers -1.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 2.5 (+102) | Under 2.5 (-122) Over 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline FC Porto 640%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 23%

🔥 Best Value Pick: FC Porto at 640% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 71.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Porto to dominate with a high probability of covering the spread and exceeding the goal total.

Predicted Score: 3-0


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FC Porto vs. Moreirense FC Prediction

Match Analysis: FC Porto vs Moreirense FC – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-05-02 Time: 7:15 PM UTC Location: Estádio do Dragão, Porto, Portugal Game Overview FC Porto faces Moreirense in a Primeira Liga match where Porto holds a dominant historical advantage and superior league position. Porto sits 4th with 62 points, while Moreirense ranks 10th […]

FC Porto May 2, 2025 Moreirense FC Soccer

MORE FROM PRIMEIRA-LIGA

Casa Pia vs. Estoril Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Casa Pia vs Estoril – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 29 April 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Pina Manique, Lisbon, Portugal

Game Overview

The match between Casa Pia and Estoril in the Primeira Liga could provide a competitive encounter. However, it was initially postponed from April 28, 2025, due to a power outage, which might affect team dynamics and preparation. The home advantage could favor Casa Pia, but recent performances by both teams need careful analysis.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Casa Pia has shown mixed results recently, while Estoril has faced challenges in maintaining consistency. Casa Pia's last match was a draw, and Estoril experienced a loss in their previous game against Sporting Braga.
  • In the past, Casa Pia and Estoril have had mixed outcomes. Casa Pia won 2-0 against Estoril in December 2024, but drew 0-0 in April 2024.
  • There is no current detailed information available on injuries for this match.
  • The recent power outage and rescheduling might impact team readiness and morale.
  • Both teams will be motivated to secure points for better standings in the league.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Casa Pia: 140, Estoril: 225, Draw: 195 Casa Pia ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Casa Pia: -0.25 102, Estoril: 25 -122 Casa Pia ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over: 2 -128, Under: 2 108 Under 2 ★★★☆☆ 52%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Casa Pia -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Casa Pia is slightly favored, given their recent win against Estoril and the home advantage.

Predicted Score: 1-0 in favor of Casa Pia


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Boavista Porto vs. Sporting Lisbon Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Boavista Porto vs Sporting Lisbon – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-27
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio do Bessa Século XXI, Porto

Game Overview

This is a critical Liga Portugal match between Boavista Porto, currently ranked 17th, and league leaders Sporting Lisbon, who are at the top of the table.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Boavista Porto has struggled this season, with a high loss rate at home, while Sporting Lisbon boasts an impressive win record.
  • Sporting Lisbon has historically dominated Boavista, winning 83% of their last six matches.
  • No specific information about key injuries is available for this match.
  • No significant external factors are noted that could impact the match outcome.
  • Sporting Lisbon's motivation to maintain their league lead could give them an edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Boavista Porto: 1100, Sporting Lisbon: -460, Draw: 500 Sporting Lisbon win ★★★★☆ 80%
Spread Boavista Porto: 1.75 -105, Sporting Lisbon: -1.75 -115 Sporting Lisbon covers the spread ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over: 3 -105, Under: 3 -115 Over 3 goals ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sporting Lisbon 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sporting Lisbon is strongly favored to win this match based on past performances and current standings.

Predicted Score: 1-3 to Sporting Lisbon


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Benfica vs. AVS Futebol SAD Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Benfica vs AVS Futebol SAD – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-27
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio da Luz, Lisbon, Portugal

Game Overview

The match between Benfica and AVS Futebol SAD is significant in the context of the Primeira Liga. Benfica, positioned second in the league, is a strong contender for the UEFA Champions League qualifiers. AVS Futebol SAD has struggled with consistency, having not won any of their last five league matches. Historically, Benfica has dominated their head-to-head encounters.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Benfica is performing exceptionally well, with a strong league position and a higher average of goals scored (2.47) compared to AVS (0.77). AVS has struggled, failing to score in multiple matches.
  • Benfica has never lost to AVS Futebol SAD in their past two meetings, winning one and drawing one.
  • No specific injury reports are available, but both teams are expected to be at full strength.
  • The match is at Benfica's home ground, which typically gives them an advantage.
  • Benfica is highly motivated to secure a win to maintain or improve their league standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -1200 for Benfica, 2200 for AVS, 900 for Draw Benfica to win ★★★★☆ 80%
Spread -2.75 for Benfica, 2.75 for AVS Benfica to cover ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 3.75 at -105, Under 3.75 at -115 Over 3.75 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Benfica -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.75 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3.75 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Benfica is likely to dominate and win, given their strong home advantage and past performance against AVS.

Predicted Score: Benfica 4, AVS Futebol SAD 0


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Vitória SC vs. Rio Ave FC Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Vitória SC vs Rio Ave FC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 27 Apr 2025
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Dom Afonso Henriques, Guimaraes, Portugal

Game Overview

Vitória SC (5th place) hosts Rio Ave FC (11th place) in a Liga Portugal Betclic match, with Vitória aiming to solidify their top-half position and Rio Ave seeking to improve mid-table standing.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Vitória SC holds a higher league position (5th vs 11th), suggesting better recent form. Rio Ave has three away wins this season, indicating occasional road resilience.
  • Vitória SC leads historical H2H with 20 wins to Rio Ave's 14 in 49 meetings, including 2 wins in their last 5 encounters (2L, 1D). Recent clashes show competitive balance but slight Vitória edge.
  • No specific injury data available; assume standard squad availability.
  • Match occurs at Vitória's home stadium (Dom Afonso Henriques), where home advantage could be significant based on league positioning.
  • Vitória SC likely seeks European competition qualification, while Rio Ave aims to avoid late-season relegation risks.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Vitória SC -180 | Draw +300 | Rio Ave +475 Vitória SC win ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Vitória SC -1 (-108) | Rio Ave +1 (-112) Vitória SC -1 cover (win by ≥2 goals) 45% (narrow margin expected)
Over/under Over 2.5 (-118) | Under 2.5 (-102) Under 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Vitória SC -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moderate-confidence Vitória SC win due to home advantage and H2H superiority, though potential for low-scoring affair given Rio Ave's defensive tendencies (1.4 goals conceded/match in last 5).

Predicted Score: 2-1 Vitória SC


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Moreirense FC vs. Nacional Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Moreirense FC vs Nacional – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-27
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Parque de Jogos Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, Moreira de Cônegos, Portugal

Game Overview

The match between Moreirense FC and Nacional on April 27, 2025, is expected to be closely contested, with Moreirense slightly favored due to their home advantage and higher league position.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Moreirense FC, positioned 10th, holds a slight edge over Nacional, placed 13th. However, Nacional's away performances have been challenging, with a high loss rate.
  • Recent head-to-head statistics are not detailed, but Moreirense's home advantage could be pivotal.
  • No specific injury details are available, but their impact should be considered for both teams.
  • The match being in the Primeira Liga, the pressure for points could influence team strategies.
  • Both teams are motivated to improve their standings, but Moreirense might have more pressure to secure a home win.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Moreirense -115, Draw +200, Nacional +265 Moreirense to win ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread Moreirense -0.25 -120, Nacional +25 100 Moreirense to cover the spread ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.25 -105, Under 2.25 -115 Under 2.25 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Moreirense FC 64%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Moreirense FC at 64% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moreirense FC is predicted to have a slight advantage, but the match could be closely contested with a possibility of a low-scoring outcome.

Predicted Score: Moreirense 2-0 Nacional


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CF Estrela vs. FC Porto Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: CF Estrela vs FC Porto – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-26
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Jose Gomes, Amadora, Portugal

Game Overview

CF Estrela Amadora is set to face FC Porto in a Primeira Liga match. Estrela Amadora is struggling, ranking 15th, while Porto is chasing a top-three finish, having strong recent performances.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Estrela Amadora has struggled with form, losing four of their last six games and averaging under one goal per match. Porto, despite a recent loss, has won four of their last six league matches.
  • Porto is unbeaten in the last four meetings with Estrela Amadora, winning three and drawing one. Estrela Amadora has failed to score in these encounters.
  • No specific injury information is provided, but it could impact the match if significant players are missing.
  • Motivation for Porto to secure a top-three finish could be a significant external factor.
  • Porto is highly motivated to secure a top-three spot, while Estrela Amadora seeks to improve their standing and avoid relegation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline CF Estrela +500, FC Porto -185, Draw +295 FC Porto ★★★★☆ 80%
Spread CF Estrela +1 -112, FC Porto -1 -108 FC Porto -1 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.5 +100, Under 2.5 -120 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline FC Porto 8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

FC Porto is likely to win due to their stronger recent performance and the historical head-to-head advantage.

Predicted Score: 1-0 to FC Porto


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Gil Vicente vs. SC Farense Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Gil Vicente vs SC Farense – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 26 Apr 2025
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Cidade de Barcelos, Barcelos, Portugal

Game Overview

Gil Vicente hosts SC Farense in a closely contested Primeira Liga matchup, with recent head-to-head results showing a balanced rivalry (3 wins each, 1 draw in 7 meetings). Gil Vicente won their most recent encounter 1-0 on December 14, 2024[2], but recent form discrepancies exist in the data (sources conflict on last 5 results for Gil Vicente, while Farense shows 1W-1D-3L)[3].

Key Factors to Consider

  • Conflicting data: One source shows Gil Vicente lost their last 5 games[3], but this directly contradicts their 1-0 win over Farense in December 2024[2]. Current season standings unavailable for precise analysis.
  • Perfect parity with 3 wins each (1 draw) in 7 meetings[3], including a recent Gil Vicente victory[2]. Goals per match historically low (2.14 average)[3].
  • No specific injury reports available in provided data.
  • Home advantage for Gil Vicente at Estadio Cidade de Barcelos[1], though historical head-to-head doesn't show strong home dominance.
  • Mid-table positioning likely for both teams based on limited standings data[5], but exact league positions unavailable.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Gil Vicente +130 | Draw +205 | SC Farense +225 Gil Vicente/Draw (double chance) ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Gil Vicente -0.25 (-105) | SC Farense +25 (-115) SC Farense +0.25 (cover) ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 2.25 (+105) | Under 2.25 (-125) Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Gil Vicente -13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Value lies with home side given recent head-to-head success and slightly shorter odds, but low-scoring affair expected. Draw remains strong possibility given historical parity.

Predicted Score: 1-1 draw


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Santa Clara vs. Arouca Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Santa Clara vs Arouca – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-26
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de São Miguel, Ponta Delgada, Portugal

Game Overview

The upcoming Primeira Liga match between Santa Clara and Arouca will take place at Estadio de São Miguel. Santa Clara, mid-table with 47 points, have shown mixed recent form with 2 wins, 2 losses and 1 draw in their last 5 games. Arouca are lower in the table with 33 points and a recent run of 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses. Historically, encounters between these teams have been competitive with a slight edge to Arouca in total wins but Santa Clara stronger at home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Santa Clara has a balanced goals scored and conceded record (29:29) and has been solid at home. Arouca has conceded significantly more goals (30:45) and have struggled on the road. Santa Clara's recent home form is better with 2 wins and a draw in last 5 home games versus Arouca's inconsistent away performance.
  • In 18 meetings since 2010, Santa Clara won 3 times, Arouca 9 times, with 6 draws. At home, Santa Clara has 2 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses against Arouca in last 8 home meetings. The most common result is 0-1 favoring Arouca. Recent matches have been tight.
  • No specific injury updates available from current data. Both teams likely to field strong lineups.
  • The match is played at Santa Clara’s home ground, giving them home advantage. Weather and pitch conditions are expected to be normal with no disruptions.
  • Santa Clara need points to solidify mid-table position and potentially push higher, while Arouca will fight to avoid further slide down the table. Both teams have motivation but Santa Clara's home advantage and recent form provide better incentive.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Santa Clara: -105, Draw: 215, Arouca: 300 Santa Clara Win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Santa Clara -0.5: 102, Arouca +50: -122 Santa Clara -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.25: 105, Under 2.25: -125 Under 2.25 Goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Santa Clara 2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Santa Clara to win in a close, low-scoring match.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Famalicão vs. Braga Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Famalicão vs Braga – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 25 Apr 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Municipal de Famalicao, Vila Nova de Famalicao, Portugal

Game Overview

The match between Famalicão and Sporting Braga in the Portuguese Primeira Liga pits two teams with contrasting recent performances. Famalicão, while struggling in the league, has shown resilience in head-to-head matchups, while Braga is consistently strong. The game is crucial for Braga's position in the standings, potentially impacting their European qualification hopes.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Braga has been more consistent throughout the season compared to Famalicão. However, Famalicão's recent form against top-tier teams suggests potential for surprises.
  • Historically, Braga has the upper hand, but recent matches have been competitive, with Famalicão winning some key confrontations.
  • No significant injury reports have been highlighted for either team, but any last-minute absences could impact performance.
  • Home advantage could boost Famalicão, while Braga's pressure to maintain their position in the league could influence their strategy.
  • Both teams have strong motivations—Famalicão to upset and gain points, Braga to solidify their league standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Braga: 115, Famalicão: 235, Draw: 225 Draw or Braga win, given odds ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Braga: -0.25 -115, Famalicão: 25 -105 Braga to cover the spread ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over: 2.25 -118, Under: 2.25 -102 Over 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Braga -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.25 -4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Braga at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Braga's stronger season performance and historical edge, they are favored, but Famalicão's resilience and home advantage make this a competitive match.

Predicted Score: 2-1 Braga


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