Match Analysis: FC Dallas vs San Diego FC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-06-29
- Time: 12:30 AM UTC
- Location: Toyota Stadium, Frisco, USA
Game Overview
FC Dallas will host San Diego FC in an MLS match at Toyota Stadium. FC Dallas currently ranks 10th, while San Diego FC holds 2nd place in the league standings. This match features two competitive sides with contrasting recent form and standings, and their previous encounters have been closely contested with some draws and a notable win by San Diego FC.
Key Factors to Consider
- Over the last 5 games, FC Dallas gathered 8 points averaging 1.6 points per game with about 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match. San Diego FC has been stronger recently, winning 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 1.6 goals per match and conceding only 0.8 goals on average.
- The two teams have played twice recently. San Diego FC has 1 win and one draw against FC Dallas. Their past meetings have seen a moderate goal average of around 1.8 per match, with FC Dallas having an 80% Asian Handicap win rate and 60% over total goals, while San Diego FC shows a 60% handicap win rate but only 40% over total goals.
- No specific injury data available for either team at the current time, suggesting both teams may field their regular lineups.
- The match is held at FC Dallas' home stadium, Toyota Stadium, which can provide a slight home advantage. Weather and pitch conditions are standard and should not heavily influence the match outcome.
- San Diego FC, holding a higher league position (2nd), will be motivated to maintain their strong standing, while FC Dallas aims to improve their mid-table position and capitalize on home advantage.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | FC Dallas: 210, San Diego FC: 120, Draw: 270 | San Diego FC to win | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | FC Dallas: 25 -110, San Diego FC: -0.25 -110 | San Diego FC -0.25 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 3: -105, Under 3: -115 | Under 3 goals | β β β ββ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | San Diego FC 18% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 3 -3% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: San Diego FC at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given San Diego FC's recent form, higher league position, and head-to-head edge, they have a slight advantage but FC Dallas' home advantage and competitive record suggest a tight contest. Expect a closely fought match with chances on both sides, likely decided by narrow margins.
Predicted Score: 1-2