Match Analysis: FC Dallas vs Real Salt Lake – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-11
- Time: 12:30 AM UTC
- Location: FC Dallas Home Stadium
Game Overview
The upcoming MLS match between FC Dallas and Real Salt Lake promises a competitive encounter. FC Dallas holds a historical edge in their head-to-head clashes, winning nearly half of their past 53 meetings. Real Salt Lake, however, has shown resilience away from home with a tendency toward high-scoring matches. Both teams have demonstrated a propensity for games with over 2.5 goals, indicating an attacking style of play likely to produce goals.
Key Factors to Consider
- FC Dallas has shown stronger form historically and particularly in head-to-head matches, winning 25 of 53 games against Real Salt Lake who have 15 wins and 13 draws. Dallas’s home form and goal-scoring capacity give them an advantage. Real Salt Lake averages about 1.28 goals per away match this season, often involved in matches with 2.5+ goals.
- Out of 53 meetings, FC Dallas won 47.17%, Real Salt Lake 28.30%, with draws at 24.53%. The average goals per match in these encounters is approximately 2.6 to 2.74, with many games going over 2.5 goals.
- No specific injury updates are available from the current data; therefore, both teams are presumed to field their typical starting lineups without major absences.
- Match is played at FC Dallas’s home ground which statistically benefits them. Weather and other conditions are not specified but expected normal for May in Dallas.
- FC Dallas currently sits lower in standings but has a strong motivation to capitalize on home advantage. Real Salt Lake looks to improve away performance and climb the league table, providing strong motivation for an intense contest.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | FC Dallas: -105, Real Salt Lake: 265, Draw: 280 | FC Dallas win | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Spread | FC Dallas -0.5: -105, Real Salt Lake +50: -115 | FC Dallas -0.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Over/under | Over 2.75: -105, Under 2.75: -115 | Over 2.75 goals | ★★★★☆ 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | FC Dallas 13% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.75 21% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Based on historical dominance, home advantage, and scoring trends, FC Dallas is favored to win a competitive match with over 2.5 goals expected.
Predicted Score: 2-1