Match Analysis: FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-10
- Time: 12:30 AM UTC
- Location: Toyota Stadium, Frisco, TX
Game Overview
FC Dallas hosts Portland Timbers in an MLS regular season match at Toyota Stadium. FC Dallas has a weaker defensive record but plays at home, while Portland has a better points per game ratio and overall form.
Key Factors to Consider
- FC Dallas has a record of 6-7-11 with a goal difference of -10, scoring 35 and conceding 45 goals, averaging 1.04 points per game. Portland Timbers are 10-7-7 with a positive goal difference, averaging about 1.5 goals per game. Portland has a better recent form and higher overall points.
- The fixtures between these teams have been competitive with no clear dominant side recently, but Portland has been slightly better away historically.
- No critical injuries reported impacting starters for either side; goalkeepers Maarten Paes (Dallas) and Maxime Crepeau (Portland) expected to start.
- Home-field advantage for FC Dallas at Toyota Stadium; weather and other external factors appear neutral.
- Portland Timbers sit higher in the standings and are motivated to keep pace in playoffs race; FC Dallas have less to play for but will look to defend home turf.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | FC Dallas 112, Portland Timbers 218, Draw 265 | FC Dallas | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Spread | FC Dallas -0.5 at 107, Portland Timbers +50 at -143 | FC Dallas -0.5 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Over/under | Over 2.5 at -161, Under 2.5 at 122 | Under 2.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | FC Dallas 10% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 33% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 33% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
FC Dallas to win on the moneyline with a narrow margin and a moderately low scoring game.
Predicted Score: 2-1