Match Analysis: FC Dallas vs New York City FC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-26
- Time: 12:30 AM UTC
- Location: Toyota Stadium, Frisco, TX
Game Overview
FC Dallas hosts New York City FC in an MLS regular-season matchup at Toyota Stadium. NYCFC currently holds a better league standing and slightly stronger form, while Dallas aims to leverage home advantage after a recent 3-0 win.
Key Factors to Consider
- NYCFC is 10-5-8 with a positive goal difference and more consistent attacking output, while FC Dallas has a negative goal difference, sits lower in the table, and concedes more goals on average.
- Recent matchups indicate a competitive balance but slight edge to NYCFC, who hold more clean sheets and have managed more shots on goal historically.
- No major injuries reported impacting starting goalkeepers Maarten Paes (Dallas) and Matt Freese (NYCFC), ensuring core defensive stability.
- Home field advantage favors FC Dallas; weather and pitch conditions likely neutral; no travel fatigue for home side.
- NYCFC pursues playoff positioning with stronger recent results; FC Dallas motivated by home crowd after a convincing recent win.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | FC Dallas: 150, New York City FC: 170, Draw: 260 | New York City FC | β β β ββ 68% |
Spread | FC Dallas 0: -120, New York City FC 0: 100 | New York City FC +0 (Asian Handicap) | β β β ββ 65% |
Over/under | Over 2.75: -120, Under 2.75: 100 | Under 2.75 goals | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | New York City FC 27% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.75 16% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: New York City FC at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
New York City FC to win
Predicted Score: 1-2