Match Analysis: FC Dallas vs Los Angeles FC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-24
- Time: 12:30 AM UTC
- Location: Toyota Stadium, Frisco, TX
Game Overview
FC Dallas hosts Los Angeles FC in this MLS matchup. Dallas struggles somewhat defensively and ranks low in goals scored with a negative goal differential, while LAFC shows a stronger offensive output and better recent form. The game appears competitive but with a lean towards LAFC based on season performance and current odds.
Key Factors to Consider
- FC Dallas has a record of 7-8-11, with a negative goal differential (-8) and conceding 1.77 goals per game. LAFC holds an 11-7-6 record, scoring more and conceding less, with recent form favoring LAFC.
- Historically, LAFC has had competitive edges against Dallas, with more wins in recent meetings and a better goal scoring rate.
- No major injuries reported affecting either starting goalkeeper or key attacking players. Both Michael Collodi (Dallas) and Hugo Lloris (LAFC) expected to start.
- Match played at Dallas's Toyota Stadium may favor home side slightly, but LAFC's stronger form away tempers this advantage. Weather and pitch conditions appear normal.
- LAFC's better chances for playoff positioning increase their motivation. Dallasβs current league standing and form makes their motivation moderate but less urgent.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: +246, away: -102, draw: +275 | Los Angeles FC | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | FC Dallas +50: -125, LAFC -0.5: -106 | LAFC -0.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Over/under | Over 2.5: -143, Under 2.5: +108 | Under 2.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Los Angeles FC 15% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 16% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Los Angeles FC win; Spread: LAFC -0.5; Over/Under: Under 2.5 goals
Predicted Score: Los Angeles FC 2 – 1 FC Dallas