Match Analysis: FC Dallas vs Houston Dynamo – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: May 18, 2025
- Time: 12:30 AM UTC
- Location: Toyota Stadium, Frisco, USA
Game Overview
The match between FC Dallas and Houston Dynamo is part of the MLS and marks another round of the Texas Derby, a longstanding rivalry between the two teams.
Key Factors to Consider
- FC Dallas is currently ranked 10th, while Houston Dynamo is ranked 14th. FC Dallas has a record of 4-4-4, indicating a balanced performance.
- FC Dallas historically leads the series 11-8 and is 15-13-20 all-time against Houston Dynamo in MLS play.
- No specific injury reports are available, but teams' general health can impact performance.
- The match being at home could favor FC Dallas, though the Dynamo might push for a strong away performance.
- Winning the Texas Derby provides significant motivation for both teams, as it symbolizes state pride and includes the trophy El Capitán.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | FC Dallas: 109, Houston Dynamo: 250, Draw: 238 | FC Dallas | ★★★★☆ 75% |
Spread | FC Dallas: -0.5 104, Houston Dynamo: 50 -139 | FC Dallas to cover the spread | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Over/under | Over: 2.5 -123, Under: 2.5 -108 | Over 2.5 goals | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | FC Dallas 15% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.5 9% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: FC Dallas at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Based on the home advantage and historical performance, FC Dallas is likely to win.
Predicted Score: FC Dallas 2, Houston Dynamo 1