Match Analysis: FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-30
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: TQL Stadium, Cincinnati, USA
Game Overview
FC Cincinnati hosts Philadelphia Union in a highly competitive MLS match featuring two of the league's top teams. Cincinnati is strong at home with solid defensive stats but faces a Philadelphia squad leading the league and known for clinical scoring and consistent form.
Key Factors to Consider
- FC Cincinnati has a 16-4-7 record, is 12th in league assists, with 42 goals scored and 34 conceded. Philadelphia Union leads the league with 51 points, a 3rd best defense with a save rate of 65.8%, and a higher goal difference and efficiency overall, despite conceding somewhat more.
- Philadelphia Union has had the upper hand recently with a 4-1 home win earlier this season and a favorable overall record. FC Cincinnati won 2-1 away against Philadelphia last October but lost 1-4 at Philadelphia in March, showing competitive but somewhat Philadelphia-favored trends.
- No significant injury reports for either side have been noted close to matchday, with expected lineups featuring starting goalkeepers Celentano for Cincinnati and Blake for Philadelphia.
- Match played at Cincinnati's TQL Stadium gives a slight home advantage to FC Cincinnati. Weather or other external issues have not been mentioned as impactful.
- Philadelphia Union currently leads the league motivating them to maintain top position and clinch important points; Cincinnati looks to close gap and strengthen playoff positioning, adding competitive motivation on both sides.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: +140, away: +165, draw: +275 | Away Win (Philadelphia Union) | β β β ββ 65% |
Spread | home: -0.5 +133, away: +50 -179 | Away +0.5 (Philadelphia Union) | β β β β β 70% |
Over/under | over_2.5: -161, under_2.5: +120 | Under 2.5 Goals | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Philadelphia Union 19% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 32% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 32% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Philadelphia Union moneyline win
Predicted Score: 1-2