Match Analysis: FC Cincinnati vs Nashville SC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-13
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: TQL Stadium, Cincinnati, Ohio
Game Overview
The MLS matchup between FC Cincinnati and Nashville SC features two closely matched teams with similar recent form. Nashville SC is slightly favored by sportsbooks despite both teams showing strong attacking stats at home and away respectively.
Key Factors to Consider
- FC Cincinnati has slightly better offensive output at home with 1.62 goals/game but concedes more (1.59/game). Nashville SC has a solid defense with 1.38 goals conceded/game but has scored fewer goals overall. Recent form shows both teams on winning streaks in last 5 games, with Nashville better on consistency and win percentage (51% vs 30%).
- Recent head-to-heads are competitive without clear dominance; both teams have struggled to take clear upper hand, suggesting a tight contest.
- Current available data does not indicate significant injuries on either side that would heavily impact starting lineups or system.
- No adverse weather or travel concerns for the home side; Cincinnati enjoys home advantage at TQL Stadium. Motivation is high for both teams given playoff implications late in the season.
- Both teams are motivated to secure crucial points to boost playoff positioning. Homepage advantage may give Cincinnati an edge but Nashvilleβs recent consistency increases their confidence.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | FC Cincinnati +163, Nashville SC +153, Draw +250 | FC Cincinnati | β β β ββ 62% |
Spread | FC Cincinnati +50 -196, Nashville SC -0.5 +145 | Nashville SC -0.5 | β β β ββ 58% |
Over/under | Over 2.5 -137, Under 2.5 +104 | Under 2.5 | β β β ββ 64% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | FC Cincinnati 3% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 31% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 31% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 29.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Back FC Cincinnati on the moneyline for a moderate upset given home advantage and aggressive attacking form. Bet Nashville on spread to cover -0.5 considering their superior defensive discipline and consistency. Choose under 2.5 goals anticipating cautious play from both sides in a tight match.
Predicted Score: 1-1