Match Analysis: FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew SC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-12
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: TQL Stadium
Game Overview
FC Cincinnati hosts Columbus Crew SC in a tightly contested MLS matchup. FC Cincinnati is strong at home with a 67% recent win rate, undefeated in 10 of their last 11 home MLS games, and has scored in each of their last 10 home matches. Columbus Crew has a solid away record with 50% win rate and both teams have scored in their last 8 away MLS matches for Columbus. The teams have drawn half of their recent 6 head-to-head matches.
Key Factors to Consider
- FC Cincinnati has won 3 of their last 5 matches with a goals average of 2 per game, while Columbus Crew has also won 3 of their last 5 but averages 1.6 goals per game, showing slightly less offensive output.
- The last 6 matches between these teams produced 3 draws, indicating a competitive balance and potential for a close game.
- No significant injuries or suspensions reported impacting key players in either squad, maintaining team strength.
- The game is played at FC Cincinnati's home stadium, where they have been dominant this season, providing a home advantage.
- Both teams are motivated with recent positive form; FC Cincinnati seeks to capitalize on home strength, while Columbus aims to improve their away results.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | FC Cincinnati: 116, Columbus Crew SC: 195, Draw: 285 | FC Cincinnati | ★★★★☆ 72% |
Spread | FC Cincinnati -0.5 at 111, Columbus Crew +50 at -147 | FC Cincinnati -0.5 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Over/under | Over 3.5 at 127, Under 3.5 at -169 | Over 3.5 goals | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | FC Cincinnati 19% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 3.5 36% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3.5 at 36% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
FC Cincinnati to win on the moneyline, cover the -0.5 spread, and the match to go over 3.5 goals
Predicted Score: 3-2